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ANALYSIS, ALERTS, OTAPS SIGNALS, CHART ILLUSTRATIONS, AND COMMENTARY

Monday, October 31, 2011

Thursday, October 27, 2011 5:34 PM: EchoVectorVEST Month End Release: Major Market: Insure at $122 on the DIA Equivalency Basis.

Thursday, October 27, 2011 5:34 PM:   EchoVectorVEST Month End Release: Major Market:
Insure at $122 on the DIA Equivalency Basis:

Looking closely at a daily action chart of the DIA, year to date, you can see the gap up on today's (Thursday 27 Oct) market. Many think this is a great sign. However, count back six months (April, also an earnings announcement month) and you will find your 'gap up' there also, and to levels that eventually could not be sustained by the downpressures of the next two months.

Now, count forward 3 months (a quarterly cycle from those two aforementioned downpressure months) and things become quite clearer yet. Note the descention into August and September from the prior March lows. Take that descention and parallel vector it from the toppiness in July (the last earning announcement month) and see that we haven't yet broken the wide channel downtrend yet, and are now knocking at and bucking along its top.

A 'counter-valent' uptrending beginning of November, being unlike the beginnings of the backecho August on the quarterly cycle, and the backecho May on the biquarterly cycle, from the current levels, would be encouraging. Price action  like that which happened in FEB might start a change in persuasion of 'the broad and the smart' money.

Another significant challenge exists also... looking at the four year Presidential Cycle to the week, and understanding things started to collapse the beginning of November after a strong recovery October four years ago to a rather auspicious end in a year and a half later. 

However, we are encouraged by this past week's action. Now, whether or not to apply insurance between $122.5 and $125, the topside of our strongest echochannel with this phase's broadest echoband . Months ago we calcualted $122.5 on the DIA and $59 on the QQQ (tech) as the 'strong upper range tops' within the 'no band breakout scenario'...  However, the strength of this year's seasonal momentum has brought us this far and could bring us farther.  But, for now, we strongly recomend the application of full net portfolio insurance in this 'plus $122 DIA equivalency area', and will wait to see if this area holds in the advent of this 'now fully here' vulnerable time periods of the strong Quarterly (QEV) , Bi-quarterly (2QEV), and Presidential Cycle EchoVector (PCEV) downpressures.


Wednesday, October 26, 2011

www.EchoVectorVEST.com: Shopping the Near-Term Top: Short-Term Ascending Triple Bottom Support Maintained Above $116.50 on the DIA Equivalency Basis. Provides Today's Position Adjustment Opportunity

www.EchoVectorVEST.com: Shopping the Near-Term Top: Short-Term Ascending Triple Bottom Support Maintained Above $116.50 on the DIA Equivalency Basis. Provides Today's Position Adjustment Opportunity.

Wednesday, October 26, 2011
EchoVectorVEST.com: Shopping the Near-Term Top: Short-Term Ascending Triple Bottom Support Maintained Above $116.50 on the DIA Equivalency Basis. Provides Today's Position Adjustment Opportunity


A formative short-term supporting ascending triple bottom price level pattern emerging in the $116.57 to $116.82 area, located above the $116-116.50 breakdown confirmation range, coupled with MDPP Intraday DayTrading Forecast Architecture Guidance, yields both (1) the removal and cover of the employed full net portfolio major market equity basket short and (2) the removal of the full net portfolio hedge insurance, both removals occuring at $116.85 on the DIA equivalency basis at 118PMEST today, from the preceding higher application price levels on Friday and Tuesday.

Posted by EchoVectorVest at 11:47 AM
 
 
 
 
 

http://www.echovectorvest.com/: EchoVectorVEST DIA ETF: 9AMEST Wednesday 26 October 2011: DIA: Shopping the Near-Term Top: Vigilence in force

http://www.echovectorvest.com/:  EchoVectorVEST DIA ETF: 9AMEST Wednesday 26 October 2011: Shopping the Near-Term Top:  Vigilence in force

Application of full net short at $118.75 (almost $119 level) on the DIA (DIA equivalency basis on major market, US equities).on Tuesday. 

Vigilence is in force:  Prepare to remove short for re-application at $119 level after breakdown trough $118 if reversal comes and DIA regains $119 level.  The 'higher end' adjusted target bar on the post-earnings 2QEV is running up to a 'plus $1 to $3 over' the current $119 target.

Short bias presently remains.  However, also prepare for opportunity to adjust position if seasonal market strength ensuses, and 'higher lows' above the $116.57 materialize, indicative of weekly support above the key $116-$116.50 level and potential recovery to weekly highs.

Tuesday, October 25, 2011

www.echovectorvest.com: Tuesday 25 October 2011 SUMMARY: EchoVectorVEST Times and Calls the Near-Term TOP

www.echovectorvest.com: Tuesday 25 October 2011 630PMEST : EchoVectorVEST DIA ETF: Shopping the Near-Term Top


EchoVectorVEST Times and Calls the Near-Term TOP
http://www.echovectorvest.com/:  EchoVectorVEST DIA ETF: 6PMEST Tuesday 25 October 2011: Shopping the Near-Term Top:  Today's Summary.

TODAY...

Application of  the fulll net short at $118.75 (almost $119 level) on the DIA equivalency basis on major market, US equities.
Subsequent removal of the full net short for re-application at $119 level after breakdown through of $118 if reversal comes and DIA regains $119 level was unecessary; the DIA never recovered intraday past the $118.40 level and continued its price descent. 

Trading below the $116-$116.50 area on the DIA was projected as confirmation of a near-term top.  However, his key price threshold level was unrealized before the close of trading in Europe.  A low of $116.57 was reached by close of trading in the American Market shortly before the 4PMEST regular trading hours close, resting above this zone.

ALSO, ON Friday, October 21, 2011...


echovectorvest.com, Friday, October 21, 2011, 3:40PM UPDATE: DIA: Going into next week...

Covered the full long position from the price reversal at $104 in early October, with a full hedge at $117.40, on the DIA equivalency basis, this afternoon, and readying to apply full net short position on a 'precision timing basis' as we move forward from here...      

echovectorvest.blogspot.com

Regarding American Major Market Equity Exposure, on a DOW30 Industrials and DIA Equivalency basis, both full net portfolio hedge insurance (this past Friday) and full net portfolio short (today, Tuesday) now in place.

www.echovectorvest.com: Tuesday 25 October 2011: EchoVectorVEST DIA ETF, WEV and 2WEV: Shopping the Near-Term Top: Today's Tomorrow EasyGuideChart

http://www.echovectorvest.com/:

Tuesday 25 October 2011:  UPDATE 1050amest: Shopping the Near-Term Top:

EchoVectorVEST Today's Tomorrow EasyGuideChart: The DIA ETF with the active EVV 2WEV and WEV highlights

Searching for a $116-$116.5 breakdown...



www.echovectorvest.com: Tuesday 25 October 2011 1030AMEST UPDATE: EchoVectorVEST DIA ETF: Shopping the Near-Term Top

www.echovectorvest.com: Tuesday 25 October 2011 1030AMEST UPDATE: EchoVectorVEST DIA ETF: Shopping the Near-Term Top

Trading below the $116-$116.50 level on the DIA will confirm a near-term top.  However, this key price area threshold is yet to be realized.

www.echovectorvest.com: Tuesday 25 October 2011 6AMEST : EchoVectorVEST DIA ETF: Shopping the Near-Term Top

http://www.echovectorvest.com/:  EchoVectorVEST DIA ETF: 6AMEST Tuesday 25 October 2011: Shopping the Near-Term Top: 

Application of full net short at $118.75 (almost $119 level) on the DIA. 

Application of  the fulll net short at $118.75 (almost $119 level) on the DIA equivalency basis on major market, US equities.

(Note:  Remove short for re-application at $119 level after breakdown through of $118 if reversal comes and DIA regains $119 level.  The 'higher end' adjusted target bar on the post-earnings 2QEV is running up to a 'plus $1 to $3 over' the current $119 target.)

Friday, October 21, 2011

echovectorvest.com, Friday, October 21, 2011, 3:40PM UPDATE: DIA: Going into next week...

Covered the full long position from the price reversal at $104 in early October, with a full hedge at $117.40, on the DIA equivalency basis, this afternoon, and readying to apply full net short position on a 'precision timing basis' as we move forward from here...

echovectorvest.com, Friday, October 21, 2011, 9AMEST UPDATE: DIA: Going into next week...

 echovectorvest.com, Friday, October 21, 2011, 9AMEST: DIA: Going into next week...



Friday, October 21, 2011,  www.echovectorvest.com, DIA, Refer to:  DIA ETF WaveSignalGuideChart  www.EchoVectorVEST.com Trader's Edge Guide Chart for September 2011. Release No. 2  at: http://echovectorvest.blogspot.com

DIA ETF WaveSignalGuideChart http://www.echovectorvest.com/  ProtectVEST and AdvanceVEST by EchovectorVEST Trader's Edge Guide Chart: DIA: September 2011 Release No. 2
The $117.5 level on the DIA is being approached, the near-term target level for hedge insurance application.

Friday, October 14, 2011

echovectorvest.com, Friday, October 14, 2011, 9AMEST UPDATE: DIA: Going into next week...

echovectorvest.com, Friday, October 14, 2011, 9AMEST: DIA: Going into next week...


Friday, October 14, 2011,  www.echovectorvest.com, DIA, Refer to:  DIA ETF WaveSignalGuideChart  www.EchoVectorVEST.com Trader's Edge Guide Chart for September 2011. Release No. 2  at: http://echovectorvest.blogspot.com

DIA ETF WaveSignalGuideChart http://www.echovectorvest.com/  ProtectVEST and AdvanceVEST by EchovectorVEST Trader's Edge Guide Chart: DIA: September 2011 Release No. 2

EchoVectorVEST had projected the 8%, or about 10-point gain on the DIA equivalency basis from the recent current phase bottom of $104 which occurred early this month within this Echo-phase of the Quarterly EchoVector as a significant price level Quarterly EchoVector Price Challenge Area to price level gains.  The market has stalled just above this range for several days testing the 8% gains through the active earnings announcement period this week. 

Also mentioned in earlier releases, the QQQ remains a key driver in market advances and support this month.  And earnings announcements have tended to support this trend.

And, as also mentioned in earlier releases, on the bi-quarterly EchoVector basis, this $10 quarterly EchoVector gain swells to a plus $13.2 on the DIA.   So the range from $114 to $117.5 remains key challenge area to the DIA going forward.   These are areas for consideration of eventual and wise primary major market hedge insurance re-application.

Presently, EchovectorVest suggest wisdom may reside in the re-application of full portfolio hedge insurance, lifted at $104 on the DIA equivalency basis, in the 114-117.5 range on the DIA equivalency basis this week, or shortly after the completion of the technology  concentrated period of the Quarterly Cycle Earnings Announcements. Short-term oversold conditions have been moderating.

ProtectVEST also recognizes the possibility of further positive price construction, at the margin, through the ordinarily relatively strong pricing 4TH Quarterly Seasonality often occuring annually; however, at this time, ProtectVEST does not see the wisdom in significant unhedged market exposure much beyond 117 on the DIA equivalency basis due to major currents active and impending in the economy in this Presidential pre-election year. 

The Trader's Edge Guide Chart: DIA: October 2011 Release No. 1, with additional focus, will be released for public viewing soon.


ProtectVEST by EchoVectorVEST
"We're keeping watch for you"

Sunday, October 9, 2011

www.echovectorvest.com, Friday, October 7, 2011, 9AMEST: DIA

echovectorvest.com, Friday, October 7, 2011, 9AMEST: DIA: Going into next week...


Friday, October 7, 2011,  www.echovectorvest.com, DIA, Refer to:  DIA ETF WaveSignalGuideChart  www.EchoVectorVEST.com Trader's Edge Guide Chart for September 2011. Release No. 2  at: http://echovectorvest.blogspot.com

DIA ETF WaveSignalGuideChart http://www.echovectorvest.com/  ProtectVEST and AdvanceVEST by EchovectorVEST Trader's Edge Guide Chart: DIA: September 2011 Release No. 2

Taking note of the first week of July 2011 'Quarterly EchoVector BackEcho' Price Bottom coming in at about $118 on the DIA, and the DIA's subsequent rally through the July 'earnings report calendar month' to a top of about $127.5, being a gain from phase bottom of about $9.5, or about 8%. 

EchoVectorVEST sees this $9-10 point additional gain on the DIA equivalency basis, from the recent current phase bottom of $104 which occurred earlier this week within this Echo-phase of the Quarterly EchoVector, as a significant price level Quarterly EchoVector Price Challenge Area, to any price level gains from the 104 DIA price bottom, occurring through this month. 

Presently, EchovectorVest suggest wisedom may reside in the re-application of full portfolio hedge insurance lifted at $104 on the DIA equivalency basis earlier this week in this 'plus $9.5 higher' area. Short-term oversold conditions seem moderating.

$104 plus $9.5 equals $113.5  So, in EchoectorVEST'sV current view, as early as the $11,300 to $11,400 price area on the DJIA30 represents a key challenge area to any price gains this October 2011 earnings report month from this week's low of $10,400.

On the bi-quarterly EchoVector this is a plus $13.2 on the DIA. So the $117.5 area remains the key second level challenge area to the DIA also going forward.  

Presently, these are areas forward, each for their possible relative consideration of primary major market hedge insurance application and possible full net short application.

The Trader's Edge Guide Chart: DIA: October 2011 Release No. 1, will be released for public viewing soon.


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