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FEATURED PREMIUM DESK RELEASE, NOW FREE ONLINE, LONGER-TERM PERSPECTIVE FOCUS FORECAST FRAMECHART OF THE S&P500 US LARGE CAP STOCK COMPOSITE INDEX, WITH KEY ACTIVE TIME CYCLE PRICE MOMENTUM ECHOVECTORS (16-YEAR MATURITY CYCLE, 8-YEAR US REGIME CHANGE CYCLE, 4-YEAR US PRESIDENTIAL CYCLE, 2-YEAR US CONGRESSIONAL CYCLE) WITH KEY COORDINATE ECHOBACKDATES, HIGHLIGHTED AND ILLUSTRATED, CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT:


http://charts.stocktwits.com/production/original_38304596.png?1434421958

THIS WEEK'S FORECAST MODEL TCPMEVPPPP FFF

THIS WEEK'S MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS FORECAST MODEL AND ALERT PARADIGM'S FEATURED TIME CYCLE PRICE MOMENTUM ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PRICE PROJECTIONS, FOCUS FORECAST SECTOR PROXY FRAMCHARTS, AND ANALYSIS, INCLUDING ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PRICE PROJECTION FORECAST FRAMECHART ALERTS AND MODEL-BASED (AND GENERATED) FOCUS INTEREST OPPORTUNITY PERIOD STRATEGY SCENARIO SETUP TUTORIAL ILLUSTRATIONS, WITH OTAPS-PPS ACTIVE ADVANCED POSITION POLARITY MANAGEMENT SWITCH SIGNAL TIME/PRICE TARGET EXTENSION VECTOR FANS GUIDEMAP ILLUSTRATIONS: PREPARED FOR THE MARKET ALPHA NEWSLETTERS GROUP (MANG) AND ISSUED IN ADVANCE FOR READERS, STUDIERS, AND PERUSERS BY MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS (CLICK ON TUTORIAL FRAMECHARTS AND GUIDEMAPS TO ENLARGE)

28 july 2015 update spy

MONDAY, JULY 27, 2015

POWERFUL FORECAST RIGHT ON TARGET

THE TIME CYCLE PRICE MOMENTUM ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PRICE ANALYSIS
FOCUS FORECAST FRAMECHART
TUTORIAL ILLUSTRATION AND HIGHLIGHTS
(RIGHT CLICK OPEN IMAGE IN NEW TAB TO ENLARGE)

SPY ETF
POWERFUL FORECAST RIGHT ON TARGET
MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS
ECHOVECT0R PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS FOCUS FORECAST FRAMECHART UPDATE
CCEV, AEV, 2QEV AND QEV FOCUS
Market-Pivots.com | 7/27/2015 12:57:28 AM




SPY ETF
POWERFUL FORECAST RIGHT ON TARGET
MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS
ECHOVECT0R PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS FOCUS FORECAST FRAMECHART UPDATE
PCEV FOCUS
Market-Pivots.com | 7/27/2015 1:22:44 AM



SPY ETF
POWERFUL FORECAST RIGHT ON TARGET
ECHOVECT0R PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS FOCUS FORECAST FRAMECHART UPDATE
AEV, 2QEV, QEV, MEV FOCUS
Market-Pivots.com | 7/27/2015 1:08:08 AM


MONDAY JULY 20 2015 SPY UPDATE AEV

MONDAY, JULY 20, 2015

ALERT -- STS ALERT
(SHORT-TERM SHORT OPPORTUNITY ALERT)

THE TIME CYCLE PRICE MOMENTUM ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PRICE ANALYSIS
FOCUS FORECAST FRAMECHART
TUTORIAL ILLUSTRATION AND HIGHLIGHTS
(RIGHT CLICK OPEN IMAGE IN NEW TAB TO ENLARGE)

SPY ETF
POWERFUL FORECAST RIGHT ON TARGET
MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS
ECHOVECT0R PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS FOCUS FORECAST FRAMECHART UPDATE


MONDAY JULY 20 2015 GLD UPDATE

MONDAY, JULY 20, 2015

POWERFUL FORECAST RIGHT ON TARGET

THE TIME CYCLE PRICE MOMENTUM ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PRICE ANALYSIS
FOCUS FORECAST FRAMECHART
TUTORIAL ILLUSTRATION AND HIGHLIGHTS
(RIGHT CLICK OPEN IMAGE IN NEW TAB TO ENLARGE)

GLD ETF
POWERFUL FORECAST RIGHT ON TARGET
MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS
ECHOVECT0R PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS FOCUS FORECAST FRAMECHART UPDATE
Market-Pivots.com | 7/20/2015 7:35:06 PM

WEEKLY UPDATE 14 JULY

TUESDAY JULY 14 2015 UPDATE - SPY ETF


DIA OTAPS WITH L4 OTAPS 180.15 POWERFUL FORECAST RIGHT ON TARGET KEY WEEKLY INFLECTION POINT (PROTECTION) ALERT -- 2QEV AND QEV (AND LONGER TERM PCEV) BASIS


KEY LEVELS AND KEY JULY ECHOVECTOR WEEK'S FOREWARD


POWERFUL FORECAST RIGHT ON TARGET


SPY ETF PROXY -- TIME CYCLE PRICE MOMENTUM ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS TUTORIAL FOCUS FORECAST FRAMECHART UPDATES


THE TIME CYCLE PRICE MOMENTUM ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PRICE ANALYSIS

FOCUS FORECAST FRAMECHART

TUTORIAL ILLUSTRATION AND HIGHLIGHTS

(RIGHT CLICK OPEN IMAGE IN NEW TAB TO ENLARGE)



SPY ETF
POWERFUL FORECAST RIGHT ON TARGET
MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS
ECHOVECT0R PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS FOCUS FORECAST FRAMECHART UPDATE



HOW TO ENLARGE ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS FOCUS FORECAST FRAMECHART

HOW TO ENLARGE ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS ILLUSTRATION FRAMECHARTS AND MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS FORECAST MODEL AND ALERT PARADIGM PRICE PATH SCENARIO AND STRATEGY SETUP GUIDEMAP IMAGES ON YOUR COMPUTER MONITOR'S DISPLAY

1. Left click on presented image of FrameChart.
2. Right click on new image of FrameChart to see 'Open image in new tab'.
3. Left click on 'Open image in new tab.'
4. Left click on image of chart opened in new tab in order to further zoom and enlarge EchoVector Analysis FrameChart image and to enlarge its additional notations, highlights, and illustrations.

OPTIONPIVOTS

POWERFUL OPTIONPIVOTS.COM FOCUS INTEREST OPPORTUNITY PERIOD (FIOP) FORECAST AND STRATEGY SCENARIO SETUP EXAMPLES (WEEKLYS), AND ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS FRAMECHART ILLUSTRATIONS, AND MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS ACTIVE ADVANCED POSITION AND RISK MANAGEMENT FORECAST MODEL AND ALERT PARADIGM ILLUSTRATION AND HIGHLIGHT GUIDEMAPS, WITH EXAMPLE ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS COORDINATE FORECAST ECHOVECTOR GENERATED AND NPP EXTENSION VECTOR FAN GENERATED OTAPS-PPS BASED ALERT TRIGGERS.

FOR LAST MONTH'S POSTS CONTINUE TO SCROLL

FOR LAST MONTH'S SELECT POSTS, FORECASTS, FRAMECHARTS, ALERTS, POSITION MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES, ACTIVE ADVANCED POSITION MANAGEMENT TRADENOTES, COMMENTARIES, ARTICLES, AND PAST POST SUMMARIES AND CHRONICLES, CONTINUE TO SCROLL PAST TODAY'S POSTS

SHE'S GOT IT

OUR FED CHAIR... SHE'S RIGHT ON TOP OF IT, HAS GOT IT RIGHT, AND DESERVES A BREAK!!


WEDNESDAY, JUNE 17, 2015

"ZERO (NO PRIME RATE CHANGE) IN THE RIGHT SPOT (... following the data, X) THIS MONTH WINS!!"




(Go Tribe!)



JUNE PRE-FED FOMC ARTICLE

TUESDAY JUNE 14, 2015

A GLOBALLY CIRCULATED TIME CYCLE PRICE MOMENTUM ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PRICE ANALYSIS TUTORIAL ARTICLE

about: SPX, SPY, DJIA, DIA, NDX, QQQ, RUT, IWM

"LOOKING AT THE S&P500 STOCK COMPOSITE INDEX OVER THE LAST SIX PRESIDENTIAL CYCLES: JUNE AND JULY 2015 ARE VERY IMPORTANT MONTHS FORWARD FOR THE US EQUITIES MARKETS FROM AN AGGREGATE TIME CYCLE PRICE MOMENTUM ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PRICE ANALYSIS PERSECTIVE, ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE 8-YEAR ECHOVECTOR REGIME CHANGE CYCLE AND THE 16-YEAR ECHOVECTOR MATURITY CYCLE PERSPECTIVES"

JUNE 14, 2015: AN UPDATE TO 2012 ARTICLE "DON'T FIGHT THE FED"

BY ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS METHODOLOGIST AND AUTHOR KEVIN JOHN BRADFORD WILBUR

PREMIUM DESK RELEASE NOW FREE ONLINE

FOR THE MARKET ALPHA NEWSLETTER GROUP BY BRIGHTHOUSEPUBLISHING.COM: MARKET-PIVOTS.COM ETFPIVOTS.COM OPTIONPIVOTS.COM ECHOVECTOR.COM E-MINIPIVOTS.COM DOWPIVOTS.COM QQQPIVOTS.COM


___________________________________________________________________________________________

THE MARKET ALPHA NEWSLETTERS GROUP FEATURE TUTORIAL ARTICLE #2
___________________________________________________________________________________________


(SCROLL DOWN FURTHER FOR THIS WEEK'S CURRENT MARKET-PIVOTS.COM AND ETFPIVOTS.COM AND SPYPIVOTS.COM AND OPTIONPIVOTS.COM AND E-MINIPIVOTS.COMFOCUS FORECAST FRAMECHART POSTS AND TUTORIALS)



Newsletter Contributor, ETFs, Emini Futures, Large Cap, Commodity, Metals, Oil, FX







LOOKING AT THE S&P 500 STOCK COMPOSITE INDEX OVER THE LAST SIX PRESIDENTIAL CYCLES: JUNE AND JULY 2015 ARE VERY IMPORTANT MONTHS FORWARD FOR THE US EQUITIES MARKETS FROM AN AGGREGATE TIME CYCLE PRICE MOMENTUM ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PRICE ANALYSIS PERSECTIVE, ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE 4-YEAR ECHOVECTOR PRESIDENTIAL CYCLE, THE 8-YEAR ECHOVECTOR REGIME CHANGE CYCLE, AND THE 16-YEAR ECHOVECTOR MATURITY CYCLE PERSPECTIVES, AND THEIR AGGREGATION


SUMMARY

  • LOOKING AT THE S&P500 US STOCK COMPOSITE INDEX OVER THE LAST SIX PRESIDENTIAL CYCLES: THIS JUNE AND JULY 2015 ARE VERY IMPORTANT MONTHS FORWARD FOR THE US EQUITIES MARKETS FROM AN AGGREGATE TIME CYCLE PRICE MOMENTUM ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PRICE ANALYSIS PERSECTIVE, ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE 4-YEAR ECHOVECTOR PRESIDENTIAL CYCLE, THE 8-YEAR ECHOVECTOR REGIME CHANGE CYCLE, AND THE 16-YEAR ECHOVECTOR MATURITY CYCLE PERSPECTIVES, AND THEIR AGGREGATION.
  • NOW MAY BE A PRUDENT TIME TO PUT IN PLACE, AND EMPLOY, DYNAMIC, ACTIVE AND ADJUSTABLE STRADDLING POSITIONS IN KEY US EQUITY LARGE CAP COMPOSITE INDEXES IN ORDER TO LOCK IN GAINS FROM MARCH 2009 LOWS, AND TO BETTER MANAGE EXPOSURE TO GENERAL MARKET PIRCE LEVEL CHANGES IN EITHER DIRECTION THAT MAY SOON BE PROMPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK ACTION AND KEY LONGER-TERM MARKET TIMING CYCLICALITIES APPARENT IN MAJOR US STOCK MARKET COMPOSITE INDEXES.


ARTICLE


On June 22ND summer will officially be here. A big question facing US stock "market meteorologists" this year, this month, and this coming week is "weather" or not the US Federal Reserve is going to continue its "warm and cozy" consumer-friendly and historically low interest rate posture through this summer and beyond, or "weather" it is actually going to possibly bring a "market chill" with a change in its prime lending rate, which so very many market watchers, market analysts, market pundits and market mavens have recently and vigorously (and seemingly endlessly) been discussing, with an actual FRB prime interest rate hike cycle start.


Since my key article on August 1ST of 2012 titled, "Don't Fight The Fed", I've remained predominantly expositionally silent on this matter, and focused attention primarily on what has proven to be extremely timely and highly profitable technical forecasting alerts issued throughout last so far again this year.


And last year's well-forecasted time cycle price momentum echovector pivot point analysis market movements have proven powerfully efficacious and opportune for any practicing active advanced position and risk management methodologist who has followed this work and incorporated it in their analytic approach within their overall forecast, timing, and position management matrix.


Last year I warned for protection on the July highs, noting little advantage in holding long going into a forecasted fall melt (and suggested being ready to be reverse to capture positive associated extension on the short side). I also warned that this melt would be met by a bounce to further highs into winter and spring this year, viewing this last bounce as the end game (and the last intermediately significant majority payoff within the 8-year echovector regime change cycle, the 4-year echovector presidential cycle, with likely little but possible upside extended cone 'topping' left remaining on the 16-year echovector maturity cycle.


Last year's powerfully effective technical forecast, presenting these well-framed and mentioned market price dynamics, were presented as early as last March. See Benzinga article titled, "The American Political Economic Cycle And The Current Melt-Up in Stocks: A Powerfully Revealing EchoVector Analysis of the Current 5-Year Bull Market In Stocks And An Update Of The Article 'Don't Fight The Fed'. " The following framechart and exposition is a key excerpt from this article, and highlights great insight into last year's powerful forecast and its subsequent effective position management and strategy guidance through the remainder of the year:


"A LOOK AT THE LAST THREE US PRESIDENTIAL ADMINISTRATIONS' POST MIDTERM ELECTION MELT-UPS IN STOCKS


Let's begin by looking at the following 20-year price track of the S&P 500 Composite Stock Index as reflected a proxy chart of the popular /ES E-mini Futures on that index.

S&P 500 Stock Composite Index /ES E-mini Futures 20-Year Monthly OHLC Perspective

(click to enlarge)

http://www.benzinga.com/files/u79280/benzinga_kw_20y_es.png



"In the chart above note the key white 16-year market financial cycle echovector running from The April 1, 1997, the echobackdate and year following the Clinton Administration mid-term election year, to the April 1 2005 echobackdate and year following the Bush Administration mid-term election year, to the April 1 2013 echovector start date, and year following the Obama Administration mid-term election year.


Notice also the general horizontal price resistance level highlighted in white running from the Clinton Regime's price level toppiness in year 2000 to the Bush Regime price level toppiness in year 2007 to the late spring and summer time sell in May and go away period of the Obama Regime in 2013.

In May of 2013 prices had faltered at this critical time and price level and fell nearly 10% into June. Rallying off the June lows prices began to fall back again in August, potentially setting up a toppy formation much like that in 2007.


It was in the Federal Reserve Bank's genuine interest, and in The Federal Reserve Bank Chairman's focus, his specialty, and his legacy interest, to prevent another market collapse reminiscent of 2008 or 2001-2002, and this seasonal price pressure weakness from accelerating into a more precarious market price phenomena and political economic market cycle echo. And the central bank's ensuing coordinated efforts to place a bridge under stock market prices that summer could not have been more effective nor better timed for this purpose.


The bridge in place, and holding well into November, and that month's returning annual and congressional cycle lows kicking in, with them occurring at these upper and bridged supported price levels, set the stage for significantly better price level momentum trajectory than otherwise, and eventual price level resistance breakthrough and price melt-up, in lieu of price level collapse. Whereas these last three regime mid-term election years appear characterized by little price progress going into July after their first quarter highs, the year that follows, being year 5 in the existing administration's regime change cycle, holds onto momentum price gains on both a year-over-year basis and on a 2-year congressional cycle basis. The latter being even stronger, accelerating prices even further and propelling them into melt-up. This effect was anticipated in my article of August 2012, and has been central to my positive market forecast since."


THIS YEAR, THIS MONTH, THIS WEEK...


This year's shorter term perspective echovector analysis forecasting, using the key active and subsumptive congressional cycle echovectors (CCEVs), annual cycle echovectors (AEVs), bi-quarterly cycle echovectors (2QEVs), quarterly cycle echovectors (QEVs), Monthly cycle echovectors (MEVs) biweekly cycle echovectors (2WEVs) weekly cycle echovectors (WEVs), and the one and two day cycle echovectors, and their coordinate subsumptions and convergences, and their subsequent aggregated price pressure magnitude and directional key inflection points, have proven again to be very price motion dynamics and forecast effective, and powerfully position opportunity and capital gain capturing generative, and further highly productive in their contributions to active advanced pivot point forecasting and risk management , occurring within the MDPP Forecast Model and Alert Paradigm and the ProtectVest and AdvanceVest Active Advanced Position and Risk Management Regime. As forecast in these perspectives and scopes, prices have moved little since last year's end year high close to 2100 on the SPX, and the market has moved quite orderly and forecastibly within an informed and attendant trader's dream.


See "THE MARKET PIVOTS FORECASTER AND ACTIVE ADVANCED POSITION AND RISK MANAGEMENT NEWSLETTER, FREE ONLINE VERSION," for current and ongoing updates on these shorter-term forecast scopes, perspectives, and opportunity and strategy setups, framecharts, and active advanced position management guidemaps, all presented in virtual and tutorial formats online free. However, this next month, and its key time cycle price momentum echovector inflection point clusters and subsequent potential forecast echovector rotation measurements are too important to fail to bring to additional traders' and researchers' attentions, and to fail to highlight across the Market-Pivots.com and The Market Alpha Newsletters Group communities, and associated market and research information distribution channels. See the echovector analysis framechart below.


SATURDAY 13 JUNE 2015 UPDATE: POWERFUL FORECAST RIGHT ON TARGET: SPYPIVOTS.COM ECHOVECTOR FOCUS FRAMECHART (ZOOMED) SPX US COMPOSITE MARKET SECTOR PROXY SPX S&P 500 US LARGE CAP STOCK COMPOSITE INDEX PROXYCHART TIME CYCLE PRICE MOMENTUM ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PRICE PROJECTION AND ANALYSIS FRAMECHARTS: KEY ACTIVE MCEV, RCCEV, PCEV, AND CCEV AND RELATED EBDs AND KEY NPPVs AND OTAPS-PPSSVs (CONSTRUCTION 1) HIGHLIGHTED AND ILLUSTRATED SPX ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT ANLYSIS FOCUS FORECAST FRAMECHART 20-YEAR OHLC TIME/PRICE PERSPECTIVE (RIGHT CLICK ON FRAMECHART TO OPEN IN NEW TAB, THEN LEFT CLICK ON FRAMECHART TO FURTHER ENLARGE)


EchoVector Analysis Focus Forecast FrameCharts


SPX S&P 500 US STICK COMPOSITE INDEX PROXYCHART

TIME CYCLE PRICE MOMENTUM ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PRICE PROJECTION AND ANALYSIS FrameChart


KEY ACTIVE MCEV, RCCEV, PCEV, AND CCEV

AND RELATED EBDs AND KEY NPPVs

AND OTAPS-PPSSVs (CONSTRUCTION 1)

HIGHLIGHTED AND ILLUSTRATED


SPX FOCUS FORECAST FRAMECHART

20-YEAR OHLC TIME/PRICE PERSPECTIVE


CLICK ON FRAMECHART LINKS LOCATED ABOVE FRAMECHARTS TO ENLARGE FRAMECHARTS. ZOOM FRAMECHARTS FURTHER BY CLICKING ON ENLARGED FRAMECHART THAT THEN APPEARS




OUTLOOK AND STRATEGY

As can be seen highlighted and illustrated on the 20-year SPX EchoVector Analysis focus forecast framechart provided above, significant cyclical pressure comes into phase on the echovector maturity cycle, the echovector regime change cycle and the echovector presidential cycle into June and July. Couple this with the FRB's key meeting this coming week regarding interest rates, and the admixture appears compelling for significant OTAPS-PPS lead position management and nimbleness to be firmly in effect and followed. We presently believe the potential downside into fall moving into July from this point in time may be significant, and therefore remain long-term short below our key active SPX OTAPS-PPS at 2134.50, and long-term long again above that level. And in the intermediate and short-term we presently remain right on target, according to our shorter term CCEV (and its subsumptive shorter time cycle price momentum echovectors coordinate and their phase intersects and price pressure aggregates relative to key price motion pivot points and derived price inflection points.

For those unfamiliar with active advanced position management, we strongly suggest considering the following course of action highlighted from the "Market Pivots Forecaster" newsletter within the Market Alpha Newsletters Group by this author and analyst:

"... This phase of the 16, year echovector maturity cycle, the 8-year echovector regime change cycle, and the 4-year echovector presidential cycle, does not necessarily bode well for the US stock market from levels established in mid-May 2015, and going forward into this summer, from an advanced risk management point of view. A good chart of the SPX illustrating this phenomena the last 20 years can be viewed at my SeekingAlpha posts by clicking here. For this reason my general bias currently remains primarily cautious, with ProtectVEST orientation management now in effect.

We have had a great run since the lows I forecasted to the day in March 2009. My subsequent and equally timely longer-term forecast presented in "Don't Fight The Fed", as delineated in this August 2012 globally distributed article, remains in force. And if the Fed does begin the process of de-leveraging of the markets this season with an upward change in its prime lending rate (compared to what it has been doing) it must proceed very smoothly, and very cautiously... regarding what stimulus it takes away, and when, and how, and to what extent. And I would not want to be on the wrong side of poor market reaction that may result as the FRB begins this process.

For this reason, I think it prudent to continue to use and place dynamic, active, and adjustable straddling positions in order to lock in gains and to better manage your exposure to general market price level changes in either direction. Setting advanced management straddles at key coordinate forecast levels is a very effective and opportune approach, and an advanced trade strategy.

In this article I have provided an EchoVector Pivot Points Perspective and method for effectively determining trigger level prices, settings, and adjustments. Using this approach at this time could prove very valuable in effectively managing both market risk and reward. One way to employ such a straddle would be to utilize the SPY ETF correlated to the SPX mentioned earlier in this analysis, or by using the approach illustrated with the /ES SP500 Stock Composite Index E-mini Futures, by setting up an advanced trade technology approach (see "On-Off-Through Vector Target Price Switch") to positioning and position management, with appropriate dynamic triggers and stops included -- for example, at $213.75 on the SPY.

To perform the short side of the straddle, set a short trigger below $213.75 on the SPY pre-programmed as a "repeating short trigger switch" at this trigger level on reverse downtick action through the trigger price, with stops set to activate on reverse uptick up-through action. To perform the long side of the straddle, set a long trigger above $213.75 pre-programmed as a "repeating long trigger switch" on reverse uptick action through the trigger, with stops set to activate on reverse downtick down-through action. I would continue to closely watch the 4-year presidential cycle echovector, the 2-year congressional cycle echovector, and the annual cycle echovector for continued symmetries and confirming parallels and early divergent tells. And I would keep calculating my echovector pivot points and employing my dynamic OTAPS On-Off-Through Vector Target Price Switch triggers. This way you won't be fighting the Fed; and will in fact be letting the Fed, and the market, help point you in the direction you 'should be facing.' If a correction is coming, you will be ready. And if it isn't, you will be ready for that as well."

This is ProtectVEST and AdvanceVEST active advanced position and risk management at work for you! Secured against a market value level fall, yet ready to advance if the market moves forward! And learn about and become familiar with our even more advanced and profitable position polarity switching and double-double leverage optimization methodology!

THE MARKET ALPHA NEWSLETTERS GROUP -- CONSOLIDATED FREE ONLINE VERSIONS -- PREMIUM DESKS POSTS

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NOW YOU CAN ALSO FIND "THE MARKET PIVOTS FORECASTER AND POSITION MANAGEMENT NEWSLETTER'S" FREE ONLINE VERSION "SELECT POSTS AND PREMIUM DESK RELEASES" -- PROVIDED BY THE MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS FORECAST MODEL AND ALERT PARADIGM -- INCLUDING TIMELY AND ILLUSTRATIVE FRAMECHARTS AND FORECAST SCENARIO AND STRATEGY SETUP GUIDEMAPS AND ALERTS -- AT BOTH


Market-Pivots.com (776198) on MyTrade

www.mytrade.com/776198


AND*


Market-Pivots.com (276542) on MyTrade

ww.mytrade.com/276542


*MARKET-PIVOTS.COM PREMIUM DESK RELEASES POSTED AT 776198 DIFFER FROM MARKET-PIVOTS.COM PREMIUM DESK RELEASES POSTED AT 276542


__________________________________________


HOW TO ENLARGE FRAMECHARTS AND PRICE PATH GUIDEMAPS

______________________________________________________________________________________

AGAIN, HOW TO ENLARGE ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS ILLUSTRATION FRAMECHARTS AND MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS FORECAST MODEL AND ALERT PARADIGM PRICE PATH SCENARIO AND STRATEGY SETUP GUIDEMAP IMAGES ON YOUR COMPUTER MONITOR'S DISPLAY, FOR HIGH DETAIL PRECISION INQUIRIES AND REVIEWS

1. Left click on presented image of FrameChart.
2. Right click on new image of FrameChart to see 'Open image in new tab'.
3. Left click on 'Open image in new tab.'
4. Left click on image of chart opened in new tab in order to further zoom and enlarge EchoVector Analysis FrameChart image and to enlarge its additional notations, highlights, and illustrations.

______________________________________________________________________________________

THE MARKET PIVOTS FORECASTER

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Friday, March 7, 2014

S&P500 AND SPY AND /ES EMINI FUTURES ARTICLE: PREMIUM DESK RELEASE TO SPYPIVOTS.COM AND SPYPIVOTSONLINE.COM AND MARKET-PIVOTS.COM AND MARKETPIVOTSONLINE.COM AND ETFPIVOTS.COM AND EMINIPIVOTS.COM AND EMININEWS.COM

The American Political Economic Cycle And The Current Melt-Up in Stocks: A Powerfully Revealing EchoVector Analysis of the Current 5-Year Bull Market In Stocks And An Update Of The Article "Don't Fight The Fed"


Kevin Wilbur

Summary
  • The bull market is ready to celebrate its 5TH anniversary, but how much longer will the bull run?
  • The modern era in market structures, market participation, and advanced forecasting techniques may help generate its own momentum.
  • The Federal Reserve leads a significant coordinated global central bank intervention to stabilize and support the stock market during the 2012 presidential midterm election year.
  • An inspection of stock market prices reveals a pattern of significant melt-up after the midterm election year in last three US Administrations, the era of the Internet.
  • The stock market momentum (EchoVector Momentum Indicator) that follows from the post presidential midterm election year and runs through all three administrations is still right on course, and offers a strong indicator to this year's forecast.  See April 1997 to April 2005 to April 2013.
  • Prices may now appear toppy, but coordinate symmetry transposition from the last two regime change cycles also supports the case an an additional up-wave from this coming Fall's price lows.  Will fall lows be higher or lower than the current price level this March, and what might investors and traders do next to prepare?
ARTICLE

BACKGROUND
This week several analyst have published articles celebrating the market's 5-year bull run since the lows of the great 2008-2009 sell-off the second week of March 2009. Few bull markets have lasted longer than five years. What I find interesting is many of these articles' primarily thesis is on market technicals, and assessing longer term historical bull market lengths and measures.  One article even states "Part of what makes it so difficult to forecast what is going to happen next right now is history's lack of clear insight."  This often gets mentioned in periods of price over-extension, whether up or down.  I do not agree with this assessment, and believe instead that history does give insight if you are looking in the right place and within the right contextual and analytic framework.
Perhaps a closer review of shorter-term history covering the last 20 years might give us important new insight into where the market may go from here. A review that also takes into account the political economic cycles as well as key and consistent market momentum indicators, while also considering internationally coordinated central bank imperatives and interventions.  Also accounting for, and contexting, vast structural changes in market evolution is important
Dramatic structural changes in the stock market through the last 20 years, and an explosion in market participation during the age of the Internet have occurred. Windows 95 has a 20 year birthday coming up.  So it's not the market your grandfather use to trade, if he traded one at all.  Broad market participation across the globe is also expanding.  The evolution in market structure, in market participation, and in analytic tools and  techniques has been breathtaking.    All three of these evolving market components lend themselves to the development of new analytic frameworks in understanding market price dynamics and forecasting.  This is especially the case within the overall advancement of computer supported market analysis, black box investing approaches, and the ever accelerating and voluminous information age. 
I believe a different and closer inspection of the market focusing on the political economic cycle, and specifically the last three presidential administration cycles and the 2 years following the midterm presidential elections, and recent key central bank price stabilization imperatives, and the utilization of the EchoVector Market Momentum Indicator through these periods, may be particularly useful now in framing a valid understanding  where the market may move next.
THE FEDERAL RESERVE AND STABILIZING MIDTERM ELECTION YEAR PRICES

In August of 2012 I wrote an article examining the Federal Reserve Bank's interest in avoiding excessive market volatility in the a presidential midterm election year of 2012, and instead the Bank wanting to be a significant and effective force and national institution promoting economic stability and economic encouragement to the American electorate during that important political economic and financially sensitive time. In that article, titled Don't Fight The Fed, I explained how the US Federal Reserve Bank lead a global central bank coordinated and orchestrated effort to support stock prices and the wealth effect with a Federal Reserve Bank generated composite stock market price support level bridge during one of the most vulnerable periods in the political economic cycle. Supporting composite stock market price levels and preventing potentially ensuing cyclical price level erosion, and positively trajecting prices further upward instead, was the purpose of this coordinated global central bank intervention.

This article is a follow-up of my previous article. In it I would like to focus on, and to review, how large cap composite equity prices have in fact responded to this past mid-term American presidential election cycle globally coordinated central bank intervention which occurred in the summer of 2012 within the US political economic cycle, and to take a closer look at the current market price level trajectory induced by the central bank when viewed within the context and the time span of stock market price levels over the last three 8-year American presidential regimes: the Clinton regime, the Bush regime, and now the Obama regime.

A LOOK AT THE LAST THREE US PRESIDENTIAL ADMINISTRATIONS' POST MIDTERM ELECTION MELT-UPS IN STOCKS

Let's begin by looking at the following 20-year price track of the S&P 500 Composite Stock Index as reflected a proxy chart of the popular /ES E-mini Futures on that index.

S&P 500 Stock Composite Index /ES E-mini Futures 20-Year Monthly OHLC Perspective
(click to enlarge)

In the chart above note the key white 16-year market financial cycle echovector running from The April 1, 1997, the echobackdate and year following the Clinton Administration mid-term election year, to the April 1 2005 echobackdate and year following the Bush Administration mid-term election year, to the April 1 2013 echovector start date, and year following the Obama Administration mid-term election year.

Notice also the general horizontal price resistance level highlighted in white running from the Clinton Regime's price level toppiness in year 2000 to the Bush Regime price level toppiness in year 2007 to the late spring and summer time sell in May and go away period of the Obama Regime in 2013.

In May of 2013 prices had faltered at this critical time and price level and fell nearly 10% into June. Rallying off the June lows prices began to fall back again in August, potentially setting up a toppy formation much like that in 2007.

It was in the Federal Reserve Bank's genuine interest, and in The Federal Reserve Bank Chairman's focus, his specialty, and his legacy interest, to prevent another market collapse reminiscent of 2008 or 2001-2002, and this seasonal price pressure weakness from accelerating into a more precarious market price phenomena and political economic market cycle echo. And the central bank's ensuing coordinated efforts to place a bridge under stock market prices that summer could not have been more effective nor better timed for this purpose.
The bridge in place, and holding well into November, and that month's returning annual and congressional cycle lows kicking in, with them occurring at these upper and bridged supported price levels, set the stage for significantly better price level momentum trajectory than otherwise, and eventual price level resistance breakthrough and price melt-up, in lieu of price level collapse. Whereas these last three regime mid-term election years appear characterized by little price progress going into July after their first quarter highs, the year that follows, being year 5 in the existing administration's regime change cycle, holds onto momentum price gains on both a year-over-year basis and on a 2-year congressional cycle basis. The latter being even stronger, accelerating prices even further and propelling them into melt-up. This effect was anticipated in my article of August 2012, and has been central to my positive market forecast since.

OUTLOOK

Some analyst have been calling for a pullback from high's this quarter into lower lows this fall, with a bounce back to higher highs going into next year. The above analysis would tend to support such an outlook.

However, currently vigilance and caution at the high price level present may be the better part of wisdom. We have gained over 44% on the S&P since August 2012, and have completed what might be viewed, at best, as the first half of a melt-up that occurs before a potential second wave of melt-up cyclically begins in the second half of this year. Be mindful that sometimes the market, anticipating far enough into the future cyclically, seems to rush to get there early, accomplishing momentum over-extension. This might have also, in part, contributed to the drama of 2008 with regard to downside extension.

At this time within this regime change cycle within the political economic cycle, and at current price levels, my suggestion is to remain nimble, and to let the best price extension scenario evolve, but to also remain ready to lock in gains through hedging utilities in the event of scope relative counter-cyclical occurrences, and to do so possibly right up into the second quarter of next year.

One way to accomplish being nimble would be to set up an active and adjustable OTAPS position polarity switch and straddle to manage your general stock market exposure to any potential changes in the general price level momentum and your forward outlook. Setting straddles at momentum echovector switch level prices is an effective and opportune measure and advanced trade and position management strategy.

One way to employ such a straddle would be to utilize the SPY ETF and/or the DIA ETF. By setting up an advanced trade technology (see "On-Off-Through Vector Target Price Switch") at, for example, $190 on the SPY or at $166 on the DIA, with appropriate dynamic triggers and stops included, such a straddle can be employed.

To perform the short side of the straddle, set a short trigger below either of these mentioned target price switch levels (e.g., $190 on the SPY and/or $166 on the DIA) pre-programmed as a "repeating short trigger switch" at the trigger level on reverse down-tick action through the trigger price, with stops set to activate on reverse uptick up-through action.

To perform the long side of the straddle, set a long trigger above either of these the target price switch levels ($190 on the SPY and/or $166 on the DIA) pre-programmed as a "repeating long trigger switch" at the trigger level on reverse uptick action through the trigger, with stops set to activate on reverse down-tick down-through action.

Now may be a very good time to employ this general market straddle and this more advanced trade technology switch and active position management methodology, especially when reviewing the proxy chart of the S&P 500 over the past 20 years within the current presidential regime change cycle.

Thanks for reading. And Godspeed in your investing.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Kevin Wilbur
Contributor, Alpha Brand Newsletters Group
Chief Market Strategist And EchoVector Analysis Methodologist 
                 PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCVEST

Kevin John Bradford Wilbur is the Chief Market Strategist and Senior EchoVector Analysis Methodologist at PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST. He is a prize-winning Economist and Financial Physicist with an over 35 year span of experience and awards in Academics, Research, Management, Practice and Trade. Kevin has specialized experience in the Major Market Indexes, Commodities, ETFs, and in derivatives and the derivatives markets.


Search market pivots to read more about Kevin John Bradford Wilbur and his specialty,and about THE MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTER GROUP.

For further information on constructing and calculating echovectors, coordinate forecast echovectors, and echovector pivot points, see "The Simple Single-Period EchoVector Pivot Point Calculation".

For further information on constructing and calculating otaps-pps position polarity cover and/or switch signal vectors and their trigger points, see "The On-Off-Through Vector Target Application Price Switch And Position Polarity Cover And/Or Switch Signal Vector Trigger Points".

See THE MARKET PIVOTS FORECASTER AND POSITION MANAGEMENT NEWSLETTER for further updates that might develop regarding this analysis.

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ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS COLOR CODE GUIDE

ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS TRADER'S EDGE FRAMECHARTS AND FORECAST SCENARIO AND STRATEGY TIME AND PRICE POINT GUIDEMAPS COLOR CODE GUIDE

ECHOVECTOR AND ECHOBACKDATE AND COORDINATE FORECAST ECHOVECTOR AND ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PROJECTION

ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS MODEL ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS ECHOVECTORS WITH COORDINATE ECHOBACKDATES AND COORDINATE FORECAST ECHOVECTORS AND ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PROJECTIONS

ILLUSTRATIONS AND HIGHLIGHTS COLOR CODE GUIDE FOR TRADER'S EDGE ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PRICE ANALYSIS FRAMECHARTS AND ACTIVE ADVANCED MANAGEMENT OTAPS-PPS POSITION POLARITY SWITCH SIGNAL TRIGGER PRICE EXTENSION VECTORS AND EXTENSION VECTOR FANS FORECAST PRICE GUIDEMAPS

COLOR CODE GUIDE FOR ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS FRAMECHARTS AND TRADER'S EDGE PRICE PATH GUIDEMAPS

1. Maturity Cycle, Double Most Regime Change Cycle (16 Year, Week of Month):DoubleLongAquaBl
2. Maturity Cycle, Double Most Regime Change Cycle (16 Year, Week of Month):Double Long Yellow
3. Maturity Cycle, Double Most Regime Change Cycle (16 Year, Week of Month): Double Long Pink

4. Regime Change Cycle EchoVector (8 Year, Week of Month): Long Aqua-Blue
5. Regime Change Cycle EchoVector (8 Year, Week of Month): Long Yellow
6. Regime Change Cycle EchoVector (8 Year, Week of Month): Long Pink

7. Senatorial Cycle EchoVector (6 Year, Week of Month): Long Grey

8. Presidential Cycle EchoVector (4 Year, Day of Week): Long White
9. Presidential Cycle EchoVector (4 Year, Day of Week): Long Red
10. Presidential Cycle EchoVector (4 Year, Day of Week): Long Green
11. Presidential Cycle EchoVector (4 Year, Day of Week): Long Aqua-Blue

12. Congressional Cycle EchoVector (2 Year, Day of Week): Long Green
13. Congressional Cycle EchoVector (2 Year, Day of Week): Long Blue Purple
14. Congressional Cycle EchoVector (2 Year, Day of Week): Long Pink
15. Congressional Cycle EchoVector (2 Year, Day of Week): Long Yellow

16. 7 Quarters Cycle EchoVector, 7QEV (7 Quarters, Day of Week): Dark Grey
17. 6 Quarters Cycle EchoVector, 6QEV (6 Quarters, Day of Week): Pink
18. 5 Quarters Cycle EchoVector, 5QEV (5 Quarters, Day of Week): Peach

19. Annual Cycle EchoVector (1 Year, Day of Week): Red
20. Annual Cycle EchoVector (1 Year, Day of Week): Pink
21. Annual Cycle EchoVector (1 Year, Day of Week): Aqua-Blue
22. Annual Cycle EchoVector (1 Year, Day of Week): Long Blue Purple

23. Tri-Quarterly Cycle EchoVector, 3 Quarters, 9-Month Cycle EchoVector (9 Months, Day of Week): Grey
24. Tri-Quarterly Cycle EchoVector, 3 Quarters, 9-Month Cycle EchoVector (9 Months, Day of Week): Peach
25. Bi-Quarterly Cycle EchoVector, 2 Quarters, (6 Months, Day of Week): Yellow,, Aqua-Blue, Peach, Grey

26. Quarterly Cycle EchoVector (3 Months, Day of Week): White
27. Quarterly Cycle EchoVector (3 Months, Day of Week): Grey
28. Quarterly Cycle EchoVector (3 Months, Day of Week): Red
29. Quarterly Cycle EchoVector (3 Months, Day of Week): Green
30. Bi-Monthly Cycle EchoVector (2 Months, Day of Week): Black, Yellow
31. Monthly Cycle EchoVector (1 Month, Day of Week): Peach, White, Green, Red
32. Tri-Weekly Cycle EchoVector (3 Weeks, Day of Week): Grey
32. Bi-Weekly Cycle EchoVector (2 Weeks, Day of Week): Aqua-Blue, Yellow,White
33. Weekly Cycle EchoVector (1 Week, Day of Week): Aqua Blue, Red, White, Blue-Purple
34. 4-Day Cycle EchoVector (4 Days, Day-over-Day): Short Peach,
34. 3-Day Cycle EchoVector (3 Days, Day-over-Day): Short Grey, Short White
35. 2-Day Cycle EchoVector (2 Days, Day-over-Day): Short Yellow, Short White
36. Daily Cycle EchoVector (1 Day, Day-over-Day): Short Pink, Short White, Short Blue-Purple

37. Select Support and/or Resistance Vectors and/or Relative Price Extension Vectors (Various Lengths): Navy Blue and/or Blue Purple, Pink, Green, Red

COORDINATE FORECAST ECHOVECTORS: SPACED OR DOTTED
ADDITIONAL COORDINATE ECHOVECTOR LENGTHED PROJECTIONS WITH CORRESPONDING ECHOBACKDATE AND/OR ECHOFORWARDDATE PROJECTIONS: DOTTED

KEY OPERATIVE ACRONYMS AND LEXICAL REFERENCE ALGORITHMS AND SHORTHAND EXPRESSONS OFTEN USED WITHIN POTENTIALLY ACTIONABLE POSTS


EBW ECHOBACKWEEK

EBD ECHOBACKDATE

TPP TIMEANDPRICEPOINT

ID INTRADAY

INTERD INTERDAY

FIO FOCUS INTEREST OPPORTUNITY

EVA ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS

CGL CAPITAL GAIN LOCK

CGC CAPITAL GAIN CAPTURE

CEW CURRENT ECHOWEEK

QEV-EBW QUARTERLY ECHOVECTOR ECHOBACKWEEK

QEV-EBD QUARTERLY ECHOVECTOR ECHOBACKDATE

QEV-EBD-TPP QUARTERLY ECHOVECTOR ECHOBACK DATE TIMEANDPRICEPOINT

CED CURRENT ECHO DAY

CEH CURRENT ECHO HOUR

CEM CURRENT ECHO MINUTE

FEW FORWARD ECHO WEEK

RV RIDER VEHICLE

DB DERIVATIVE BASKET

PRV PROXY RIDER VEHICLE

DD DOUBLE DOUBLE LEVERAGE STRATEGY (ULTRA ON MARGIN)

L4 LEVEL 4 DERIVATIVE BASKET LEVERAGE STRATEGY

GME GLOBAL MARKET EQUILIBRATION STRATEGY

AMO AMERICAN MARKET OPEN

EUC EUROPEAN MARKET CLOSE

VSS VOLUME SPIKE STRATEGY

P-C-VSS POST PRICE CLIMB (CONSOLIDATION) VOLUME SPIKE STRATEGY

PCC POST CLIMB CONSOLIDATION

PFC POST FALL CONSOLIDATION

NPPV NEARBY PIVOT POINT EXTENSION VECTOR

EXV EXTENSION VECTOR

STL SHORT TERM LONG

STS SHORT TERM SHORT

ITL INTERMEDIATE TERM LONG

ITS INTERMEDIATE TERM SHORT

LTL LONG TERM LONG

LTS LONG TERM SHORT

SYT SYMMETRY TRANSPOSITION

SREV ECHOVECTOR SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE VECTOR

SEV SUPPORT ECOVECTOR

REV RESISTANCE ECHOVECTOR

CFEV COORDINATE FORECAST ECHOVECTOR

CFEV-S COORDINATE FORECAST ECHOVECTOR - SUPPORT

IP INFLECTION POINT

EV-PPPPGRAM ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PRICE PARALLELOGRAM CONSTRUCTION CHANNEL

CC CONSTRUCTION CHANNEL

PPR POSITION POLARITY REVERSAL

PPS POSITION POLARITY SWITCH

M MONDAY

T TUESDAY

W WEDNESDAY

TH THURSDAY

F FRIDAY

OHLC OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE

V VECTOR

2QEV BI-QUARTERLY ECHOVECTOR

24HEV DAILY ECHOVECTOR

48HEVE 2 DAY ECHOVECTOR

H HOUR

MIN MINUTES

EV ECHOVECTOR

WEV WEEKLY ECHOVECTOR

OTAPS-PPS SIGNAL VECTOR (PRICE AND TIME) OR SCHEDULE OR TARGET

2WEV BI-WEEKLY ECHOVECTOR

MEV MONTHLY ECHOVECTOR (4 WEEK)

QEV QUARTERLY ECHOVECTOR

AEV ANNUAL ECHOVECTOR

CCEV 2-YEAR CONGRESSIONAL CYCLE ECHOVECTOR

PCEV 4-YEAR PRESIDENTIAL CYCLE ECHOVECTOR

SEV 6-YEAR SENATORIAL CYCLE ECHOVECTOR

RCCEV 8-YEAR REGIME CHANGE CYCLE ECHOVECTOR


MDPP MOTION DYNAMICS AND PRECISION PIVOTS

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ALL VECTORS ARE TIME&PRICE DIRECTIONAL VECTORS UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED (FORWARD TIME)


PDR PREMIUM DESK RELEASE

TCPMEV TIME CYCLE PRICE MOMENTUM ECHOVECTOR

TCPMFEV TIME CYCLE PRICE MOMENTUM FORECAST ECHOVECTOR

EVPPA ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS

FIOP FOCUS INTEREST OPPORTUNITY PERIOD

MANG MARKET ALPHA NEWSLETTERS GROUP

MPF THE MARKET PIVOTS FORECASTER

EOM END OF MONT

EOF OPTIONS EXPIRATION FRIDAY

OES OPTIONS EXPIRATION SATURDAY

EBD ECHOBACKDATE

TPP TIMEANDPRICEPOINT

NPP NEARBY PIVOT POINT

V VECTOR

NPPV NEARBY PIVOT POINT EXTEMSION VECTOR

SYMTRA SYMETTRY TRANSPOSITION, SYMMETRY TRANSPOSED

PPS POSITION POLARITY SWITCH

PPR POSITION POLARITY REVERSAL

OTAPS ON/OFF/THROUGH TARGET APPLICATION PRICE SWITCH

4F FEATUREDFOCUS FORECAST FRAMCHART

AAPRM ACTIVE ADVANCED POSITION AND rISK MANAGEMENT

MDPP MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS

FM&AP FORECAST mODEL AND ALERT PARADIGM

ST SHORT TERM

IT INTERMEDIATE TERM

BTO BUY TO OPEN

STC SELL TO CLOSE

STO SELL TO OPEN

BTC BUY TO CLOSE

DD DOUBLE DOUBLE LEVERAGE (ULTRA ON MARGIN)

L4 MDPP LEVEL FOUR DERIVATIVES BASKET

ID INTRADAY

INTERD INTERDAY

EBW ECHOBACKWEEK

EFW ECHOFORWARD WEEK

X-EV CYCLICAL LENGTH X ECHOVECTOR

CFEV COORDINATE FORECAST ECHOVECTOR

PPP PIVOT POINT PRICE, PROJECTED PIVOT POINT

PPPP PIVOT POINT PRICE PROJECTION

STS SHORT TERM SHORT

F FORWARD



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