"Positioning for change; staying ahead of the curve; we're keeping watch for you!"

THE MARKET PIVOTS FORECASTER AND POSITION MANAGEMENT NEWSLETTER

and

THE ETF PIVOTS FORECASTER AND POSITION MANAGEMENT NEWSLETTER

and

THE E-MINI FUTURES PIVOTS FORECASTER AND POSITION MANAGEMENT NEWSLETTER

in association with

THE ECHOVECTOR MARKET PRICE PIVOTS FORECASTER AND POSITION MANAGEMENT NEWSLETTER


FREE ONLINE VERSIONS

Currently regularly updated and FREE online version market newsletters providing valuable and timely market price path analysis and price forecast charts and potential price pivot timing indicators, advanced market price echovectors and echovector price echo-back-dates, advanced forecast echovector price pivot points, key echovector price inflection points, and advanced coordinate forecast echovector support and resistance vectors for select stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, and emerging markets composites, with a strong focus on select, proxying and indicative futures and ETF instruments in key markets.

BY THE MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTERS GROUP AND BY BRIGHTHOUSE PUBLISHING

OUR RESEARCHING VIEWERSHIP

OUR RESEARCHING VIEWERSHIP NOW INCLUDES VIEWS FROM OVER 75 COUNTRIES AROUND THE WORLD! TOTAL VIEWS NOW INCLUDE REGISTERED VIEWS FROM...

Afghanistan/ Argentina/ Australia/ Austria/ Bahamas/ Bangladesh/ Belarus/ Belgium/ Belize/ Bermuda/ Brazil/ Burma/ Canada/ Chile/ China/ Columbia/ Costa Rica/ Croatia/ Cyprus/ Czech Republic/ Denmark/ Ecuador/ Egypt/ Estonia/ France/ Finland/ Germany/ Greece/ Guam/ Guernsey/ Hong Kong/ Hungary/ India/ Indonesia/ Iraq/ Ireland/ Israel/ Italy/ Jamaica/ Japan/ Jordan/ Kazakhstan/ Korea/ Latvia/ Lithuania/ Luxembourg/ Malaysia/ Mexico/ Moldova/ Morocco/ Namibia/ Nepal/ Netherlands/ New Zealand/ Nigeria/ Norway/ Panama/ Pakistan/ Philippines/ Poland/ Portugal/ Romania/ Russia/ Saudi Arabia/ Serbia/ Singapore/ Slovakia/ South Africa/ Sri Lanka/ Spain/ Sweden/ Switzerland/ Taiwan/ Thailand/ Trinidad and Tobago/ Turkey/ Ukraine/ United Arab Emirates/ United Kingdom/ United States/ Uzbekistan/ Venezuela/ Vietnam

PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST BY ECHOVECTORVEST ARTICLE GLOBAL PUBLICATION AND SYNDICATION

PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST BY ECHOVECTORVEST ARTICLE GLOBAL PUBLICATION AND SYNDICATION
PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST BY ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS ARTICLES HAVE APPEARED IN PUBLICATION OR IN SYNDICATION IN YEARS 2013 OR 2014 AT
Nasdaq, CNBC, MSN Money, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Reuters, Barrons, Forbes, SeekingAlpha, Market Pivots Forecaster, BizNewsToday, Benzinga, Business Insider, Daily Finance, StreetInsider, Top10Traders, Fixed Income and Commodities, EchoVectorVEST, Financial Visualizations, YCharts, XYZ Trader Systems, ZeroHedge, Predict WallStreet, Market-Pivots, Financial RoundTable, Financial Board Central, Bullfax, BizWays, BizFeedz, StockFlash, MoneyShow, TradingView, Investor Hangout, StockPicksExpert, The Finance Spot, Business News Index, Regator, Streamica, BusinessBalla, Finanzachricten, StockLeaf, News Now UK, The Economic Times, Finance Pong, Seeking Alpha Japan, Yahoo Finance Australia, Yahoo Finance New Zealand, Yahoo Finance Canada, Yahoo Finance Singapore, Gold News Today, GoldPivots, Casey Research, AurumX, Sharps Pixley News, Royals Metal Group, A-Mark Precious Metals, SBG Direct, Horizontal Metals, GoldSilverMoney, Sterling Investment Services, Prompto Capita, Silver Investor Weekly, Austin Rare Coins and Bullion, GoldPivots, Gold Trend, GoldPrice Today, Gold Rate 24, Check Gold Price, Gold Investor Weekly, Silver Price News, Silver News Now, Silver Phoenix 500, Silver News, Silver Price, Silver Prices Today, SilverPivots, Precious-Metals, VestTrader, Value Forum, Coin Info, Investment Four You, AidTrader, Trend Mixer, Indonesian Company, SiloBreaker, ETF Bannronn, SportBalla, Trading Apples, Skeptical Market Observer, Pension Plus, Fixed Income And Commodities, Collateral Finance Corporation, One Page News, EarthBlogNews, NewsFlashy, Veooz News, Wopular, Open Box Experiment, US Government Portal, Do It Yourself Investor, The Atlanta Journal Constitution, News Blogged, and others.

PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST

BY ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS

"Positioning for change, staying ahead of the curve, we're keeping watch for you!"


METHODOLOGY NOTES
"EchoVector Theory and EchoVector Analysis assert that a securities prior price patterns may influence its present and future price patterns. Present and future price patterns may then, in part, be considered as 'echoing' these prior price patterns to some identifiable and measurable degree.
EchoVector Analysis is also used to forecast and project potential price Pivot Points (referred to as PPP's --potential pivot points, or EVPP's --EchoVector Pivot Points) and active, past and future coordinate forecast echovector support and resistance echovectors (SREV's) for a security from a starting reference price at a starting reference time, based on the securities prior price pattern within a given and significant and definable cyclical time frame.
EchoVector Pivot Points and EchoVector Support and Resistance Vectors are fundamental components of EchoVector Analysis. EchoVector SREV's are constructed from key components in the EchoVector Pivot Point Calculation. EchoVector SREV's are defined and calculated and also referred to as Coordinate Forecast EchoVectors (CFEV's) to the initial EchoVector (XEV) calculation and construction, where X designates not only the time length of the EchoVector XEV, but also the time length of XEV's CFEVs. The EchoVector Pivot Points are found as the endpoints of XEV's CFEVs' calculations and the CFEVs' constructions.
The EchoVector Pivot Point Calculation is a fundamentally different and more advanced calculation than the traditional pivot point calculation.
The EchoVector Pivot Point Calculation differs from traditional pivot point calculation by reflecting this given and specified cyclical price pattern length and reference, and its significance and information, within the pivot point calculation. This cyclical price pattern and reference is included in the calculations and constructions of the echovector and its respective coordinate forecast echovectors, as well as in the calculation of the related echovector pivot points.
While a traditional pivot point calculation may use simple price averages of prior price highs, lows and closes indifferent to their sequence in time to calculate its set of support and resistance levels, the echovector pivot point calculation begins with any starting time and price point and respective cyclical time frame reference X, and then identifies the corresponding "Echo-Back-Date-Time-And-Price-Point (EBD-TPP)" within this cyclical time frame reference coordinate to the starting reference price and time point A. It then calculates the echovector (XEV) generated by the starting reference time/price point and the echo-back-date-time-and-price-point, and includes the pre-determined and pre-defined accompanying constellation of "Coordinate Forecast EchoVector" origins derived from the prior price pattern evidenced around the echo-back-date-time-and-price-point (EBD-TPP) within a certain pre-selected and specified range (time and/or price version) that occurred within the particular referenced cyclical time-frame and period X. The projected scope-relative EchoVector Pivot Points, the EVPPs (PPPs) that follow Security I's starting point A of EchoVector XEV, of designated cycle time length X , are then calculated and constructed using the EBD-TPP and its scope-relative nearby pivot points and inflection points (NPPs-NFPs), and by the corresponding echovector slope momentum indicator shared by both the original echovector and its coordinate forecast echovectors within the fundamental forecast echovector pivot point price parallelogram construction, and by the support and resistance levels and the slope momentum indicator determined by XEV and by the included coordinate forecast echovectors (they also fully utilizing the time-sequence and already occurring NPP-NFP prices to A's EBD-TPP, and the constellation of CFEV origins produced).
EchoVector Pivot Points are therefore advanced and fluid calculations and effective endpoints of projected coordinate forecast echovector support and resistance time/price levels, projections that are constructed from and follow in time from the starting reference price, time/price point A (echovector endpoint) of the initial subject focus echovector construction, and which occur within an EchoVector Pivot Point Price Projection Parallelogram construct: levels which are derived from coordinate (support and/or resistance) forecast echovectors calculated from particular 'scope and range defined' starting times and price points reflecting the time and price points of proximate scale and scope and time/price pivoting action that followed the initial subject focus interest echovector's echo-back-date-time-and-price-point B (derived from and relative to the initial subject focus echovector's starting time-point and price-point A, and the echovector's given and specified cyclically-based focus interest time-span X, and the initial subject focus echovector's subsequently derived slope relative momentum measures).
The EchoVector Support and Resistance Vectors, referred to as the Coordinate Forecast Echovectors, are used to generate the EchoVector Pivot Points."
From "Introduction to EchoVector Analysis And EchoVector Pivot Points"COPYRIGHT 2013 ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS


ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINTS

DEFINITION: THE ECHOVECTOR

"For any base security I at price/time point A, A having real market transaction and exchange recorded print price p at exchange of record print time t, then EchoVector XEV of security I and of time length (cycle length) X with ending time/price point A would be designated and described as (I, Apt, XEV); EchoVector XEV's end point is (I, Apt) and EchoVector XEV's starting point is (I, Ap-N, t-X), where N is the found exchange recorded print price difference between A and the Echo-Back-Date-Time-And-Price-Point of A, being (A, p-N, t-X) of Echo-Back-Time-Length X (being Echo- Period Cycle Length X).

A, p-n, t-X shall be called B (or B of I), being the EBDTPP (Echo-Back-Date-Time-And-Price-Point)*, or EBD (Echo-Back-Date)*, or EBTP (Echo-Back-Time-Point) of A of I.


N = the difference of p at A and p at B (B being the 'echo-back-date-time-and-price-point of A found at (A, p-N, t-X.)

And security I (I, Apt, XEV) shall have an echo-back-time-point (EBTP) of At-X (or I-A-EBTP of At-X; or echo-back-date (EBD) I-A-EBD of At-X): t often displayed on a chart measured and referenced in discrete d measurement length units (often OHLC or candlestick widthed and lengthed units[often bars or blocks]), such as 1-minute, 5-minute, 15-minute, 30-minute, hourly, 2-hour, 4-hour, 6-hour, 8-hour, daily, weekly, etc."


DEFINITION: ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINTS: CLICK HERE



DIRECT LINKS TO RECENT AND SELECT TOPICS, ARTICLES, POSTS, ANALYSIS, AND COMMENTARY

DIRECT LINKS TO NEWSLETTERS GROUP SELECT ARTICLES AND POSTS

DIRECT LINKS TO SELECT ARTICLES


on Mon, Apr 14, 2014,
GLD IAU, GTU, NUGT, SLV
PREMIUM DESK MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTER GROUP ALERT RELEASE FOR THE PRECIOUS METALS
NOW FREELY AVAILABLE GLOBALLY

on Mon, Mar 31, 2014,
GLD IAU, GTU, NUGT, SLV
PREMIUM DESK MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTER GROUP ALERT RELEASE FOR THE PRECIOUS METALS
NOW FREELY AVAILABLE GLOBALLY

on Thu, Mar 27, 2014,
• TLT, TBT, LQD, HYG, BOND, GOVT, /ZB, /ZN, •
PREMIUM DESK MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTER GROUP ARTICLE AND ANALYSIS RELEASE
NOW FREELY AVAILABLE GLOBALLY

on Wed, Mar 26, 2014,
• TLT, TBT, LQD, HYG, BOND, GOVT, /ZB, /ZN, •
PREMIUM DESK MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTER GROUP ARTICLE AND ANALYSIS RELEASE
NOW FREELY AVAILABLE GLOBALLY

on MON, Mar 24 , 2014 • TLT, TBT, BOND, GOVT •
GLOBALLY PUBLISHED AND SYNDICATED ARTICLE

on FRI, Mar 2, 2014,
• SPX, SPY, IYM, DJX, DJI, DIA, QQQ, IWM •
PREMIUM MARKET ALPHA NEWSLETTERS GROUP ARTICLE AND
BENZINGA GLOBAL REACH ARTICLE NOW FREELY AVAILABLE GLOBALLY

on SUN, Mar 2, 2014,
• SLV, GLD, IAU, GTU, NUGT •
GLOBALLY PUBLISHED AND SYNDICATED ARTICLE

on WED, Feb 26, 2014, With THU Update
• GLD IAU, GTU, NUGT, SLV •
PREMIUM MARKET ALPHA NEWSLETTERS GROUP ARTICLE NOW FREELY AVAILABLE GLOBALLY

on WED, Feb 25, 2014 • GLD, IAU, GTU, NUGT, SLV •
PREMIUM MARKET ALPHA NEWSLETTERS GROUP ARTICLE NOW FREELY AVAILABLE GLOBALLY

on TUES, Feb 25, 2014, w/ FRI UPDATE • GLD, GTU, NUGT •
PREMIUM MARKET ALPHA NEWSLETTERS GROUP ARTICLE NOW FREELY AVAILABLE GLOBALLY

on , Jan 12, 2014 • GLD, IAU, GTU, NUGT, SLV •
PREMIUM MARKET ALPHA NEWSLETTERS GROUP ARTICLE NOW FREELY AVAILABLE GLOBALLY

on WED, Aug 1 • DIA, IYM, SPY, IWM, QQQ •
GLOBALLY PUBLISHED AND SYNDICATED ARTICLE
(First Published August, 2012)

on THU, Sept 1, 2013 * GLD, IAU, GTU, NUGT, SLV *
PREMIUM MARKET ALPHA NEWSLETTERS GROUP ARTICLE NOW FREELY AVAILABLE GLOBALLY

on FRI, Aug 31, 2013 • GLD, IAU, GTU, NUGT, SLV •
GLOBALLY PUBLISHED AND SYNDICATED ARTICLE

on WED, Aug 28, 2013 • DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM •
GLOBALLY PUBLISHED AND SYNDICATED ARTICLE

on THU, Aug 22, 2013 • SLV, GLD, NUGT •
GLOBALLY PUBLISHED AND SYNDICATED ARTICLE

on WED, Aug 14, 2013 • GLD, NUGT, IAU, GTU, SLV •
GLOBALLY PUBLISHED AND SYNDICATED ARTICLE

on FRI, Aug 9, 2013 • GLD, NUGT, IAU, GTU, SLV •
GLOBALLY PUBLISHED AND SYNDICATED ARTICLE

on WED, Aug 7, 2013 • DIA, IYM,SPY, DIA, IWM,QQQ •
GLOBALLY PUBLISHED AND SYNDICATED ARTICLE

on MON, Aug 5, 2013 • TLT, BOND •
GLOBALLY PUBLISHED AND SYNDICATED ARTICLE

on WED, Jul 31, 2013 • SLV, AGOL, GLD •
GLOBALLY PUBLISHED AND SYNDICATED ARTICLE

on MON, May 31, 2013 • GLD, GTU, IAU, NUGT, SLV •
GLOBALLY PUBLISHED AND SYNDICATED ARTICLE
LINK TO APRIL 2014 PREMIUM POSTS PUBLISHED AT SEEKINGALPHA BY PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST
LINKS TO MARCH 2014 PREMIUM POSTS PUBLISHED AT SEEKINGALPHA BY PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST
LINKS TO FEBRUARY 2014 PREMIUM POSTS PUBLISHED AT SEEKINGALPHA BY PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST

LINKS TO JANUARY 2014 PREMIUM POSTS PUBLISHED AT SEEKINGALPHA BY PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST


SCROLL DOWN TO VIEW SELECT NEWSLETTERS


ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS FRAMECHARTS OF THE DAY


ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PROJECTION FRAMECHARTS OF THE DAY


ACTIVE ADVANCED MANAGEMENT OTAPS-PPS POSITION POLARITY COVER AND SWITCH SIGNAL INDICATOR

TIME/PRICE VECTOR GUIDEMAPS OF THE DAY


COORDINATE FORECAST ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PROJECTION FRAMECHARTS

AND OTAPS-PPS POSITION POLARITY SWITCH SIGNAL TIME/PRICE VECTOR GUIDEMAPS OF THE DAY


ADDITIONAL POSITION ALERTS AND OTAPS-PPS POSITION POLARITY SWITCH SIGNAL ALERTS

AND STRATEGY NOTES OF THE DAY


COMMENTARY, ANALYSIS, OUTLOOKS, AND FORWARD FORECASTS OF THE DAY

AND COMING SELECTED FOCUS INTEREST OPPORTUNITIES



HOW TO ENLARGE FRAMECHARTS AND PRICE MAPS

______________________________________________________________________________________


HOW TO ENLARGE ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS FRAMECHARTS AND FORECAST MODEL PRICE MAP IMAGES ON YOUR COMPUTER MONITOR'S DISPLAY

1. Left click on presented image of chart to open image of chart in new tab.
2. Right click on new image of chart opened in new tab to further zoom and enlarge EchoVector Analysis chart image illustrations and highlights.

______________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT POST

CURRENT POST
ANALYSIS, ALERTS, OTAPS SIGNALS, CHART ILLUSTRATIONS, AND COMMENTARY

Tuesday, August 6, 2013

REITERATION OF PRIOR MAJOR MARKET EQUITIES COMPOSITE ALERT AT DIA PEB $156

USO OTAPS W/ L4 OTAPS

GLD OTAPS W/ L4 OTAPS

DIA OTAPS W/ L4 OTAPS

TODAY'S CURRENT TLT ETF EVPP UB-R OTAPS PROJECTIONS GOING INTO AU 17 OE BY MDPP

TODAY'S KEY FORWARD UPPER BAND OTAPS FOR TLT GOING INTO AUGUST 17 OPTIONS EXPIRATION: 

UB R3  $107.92
UB R2  $107.33
UB R1  $106.39


FORMATION ALERT: TLT ETF

PRICE PATTERN FORMATION ALERT: TLT ETF: OTAPS ALERT W/ L4 OTAPS

THE TLT ETF IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NECK-LINE OF A HEAD-AND-SHOULDERS PATTERN WITHIN THE 2-YEAR CYCLE ECHOVECTOR PERSPECTIVE.

REACHING THE THE NECKLINE, AS WELL AS TRAVERSING IT, MAY HAVE SIGNIFICANT PRICE LEVEL IMPLICATIONS AND PRICE MOMENTUM IMPLICATIONS FORWARD.


Monday, August 5, 2013

BONDPIVOTS.COM: TLT ETF: Treasury Long Bond: Today's EchoVector Pivot Point Chart And Analysis

Today's EchoVector Pivot Point Chart And Analysis: The Long Treasury Bond

Disclosure: I am long TLT. I have a short-term swing trading long position opened in TLT last week. I may add to this position in the coming week, or cover this position, depending on how this coming week's price action progresses. (More...)
Treasury long bond prices have seen difficult times recently. Since the beginning of May this year, and shortly after the Federal Reserve hinted it was developing a schedule for winding down its $85 billion per month bond purchasing program, Fed "tapering" speculation hit the bond market hard. It sent the price of bonds down rather quickly and quite dramatically. An 8% drop occurred during just that first month of May, from about $124 to about $114 as measured by the TLT ETF.
Although the Fed has since attempted to mitigate its language and posture to indicate that purchasing will remain steady, the bond market has continued to weaken further. Investors have elected to continue their strong preference for rising stocks. June remained poor for bond prices, seeing The TLT dropped another six points from $114 to $108, and set up an additional early July drop to nearly $106 before the damage to prices seemed to halt.
Many articles followed, with some analysts seeing bonds stabilizing and again "becoming a buy," while other analysts warned of continuing price weakness into the end of the year -- and potentially beyond. On balance, treasury long bond prices did stabilize through much of the remainder of July, finding continued technical support in this new price range.
However, last week's midweek Federal Reserve activity apparently provided little additional lift to bond prices; in fact, bonds broke down to new annual lows the very next day, on Thursday, before ending the week. Thursday's better-than-expected ADM payroll number and ISM manufacturing number also appeared to be catalysts for the breakdown. Friday's worse-than-expected job numbers and further moderating comments by the St. Louis Fed President on Fed tapering helped halt Thursday's strong dire-looking bond price down-pressure and continued downward momentum, at least going into the weekend.
In this context, today is a good day for review of a price chart of the treasury long bond from an EchoVector Pivot Point Analysis Perspective. We're looking for occurrences of possible price symmetries that may be forming within this past week's and month's context, and to review these symmetries' potential trading implications. This coming week is sure to be a significant week in the bond market. In this analysis, I will review two primary EchoVector Pivot Point Perspectives for their price symmetries and for their individual and combined trading implications.
The first echovector perspective is a four-year daily price action chart of the TLT that highlights a current key active presidential cycle echovector and a "fan" of potential echo-extension vectors from a key presidential cycle echo-back-date, for context. The second echovector perspective is a two-year daily price action chart of the TLT that includes a currently active congressional cycle echovector, which may be about to pivot and on which I will be focusing, and several confirming shorter-term cycle echovectors occurring in parallel that are also of interest. I am using the TLT ETF and its price charts as a proxy for long bond treasuries market price action.
TLT ETF Four-Year Daily OHLC
(Right click on image of chart to open image in new tab. Left click on image opens in a new tab to further zoom EchoVector Analysis chart image illustrations and highlights.)
This first chart presents and highlights the key active four-year presidential cycle echovector at work on Thursday, April 23,2103, along with that day's coordinate echo-back-date of Thursday, April 21, 2009. At the time, although many analysts were advancing the position of moving into bonds as an insurance hedge against a possibly overheated stock market, I was instead advancing caution and warning readers of a potential head-and-shoulders pattern in bonds possibly in the making. The wisdom of taking profits on the strong double-long swing trade opportunity alert I had previously issued during week of March 11 was also advanced. In addition, I was suggesting more active bond market participants begin looking into double shorts. This chart highlights the rather overall precarious price pattern of this year in the long bond market within the presidential cycle during its prior period.
A longer-term chart highlighting the eight-year regime change cycle clearly shows the lows of mid-March 2013 and its correlate lows in both 2009 and 2005, as well as, very interestingly, the active coordinate echovector support then each year. The regime change cycle chart also shows the symmetrical price extension levels that occurred and followed in the second quarter of each of those years. They indicate little price advantage going forward into the end either year; in fact, they reveal significant price erosion each of those years instead.
Illustrative charts regarding this additionally revealing longer-term regime change cycle period and its trends, patterns, and echovectors were posted on Seeking Alpha on April 13, and can still be viewed there for "additional context and framework" in viewing, processing, and analyzing this month's coming price action. So far, the price behavior during this current phase of the presidential cycle is behaving very consistently, and coordinately subsumptive to and within this current phase of the eight-year regime change cycle, in which the presidential cycle occurs.
TLT ETF Two-Year Daily OHLC
(Right click on image of chart to open image in new tab. Left click on image opens in a new tab to further zoom EchoVector Analysis chart image illustrations and highlights.)
This second chart zooms in and focuses on price activity and the potentially revealing price symmetries that have occurred in the long bond the last two years. First, notice how the active two-year congressional cycle echovector (in solid yellow) for this past Thursday, Aug. 1, 2013, and its coordinate echo-back-date of Thursday, July 29, 2012, is moving in significant parallel with the active presidential cycle echovector previously highlighted (in both solid white and spaced white). Also note that in both 2011 and in 2012, the week that followed the coordinate echo-back-week to this past week presented strong pivoting and price extension pressure and pattern, following "FOMC comments the prior week."
In 2011, the price reaction to Fed comments was strong price uplift, which was also coordinated with presidential cycle uplift of similar price lower range basing in 2007. In 2012, the price reaction to Fed comments was significant price down-pressure and price fall, prices having already rallied to the upper end of the active longer term echovector price range that year. Also, notice the current price momentum and slope symmetry in the bi-quarterly echovector (two quarters long to the weekday, and highlighted in solid aqua blue) for this year, occurring from Monday, July 22, 2013, and its coordinate echo-back-date of Monday Jan. 22, 2013; see how this echovector so interestingly parallels the longer active annual price echovector for this past week's post low (in spaced red).
Note also that coordinate price weakness followed well into the middle of the following month from the end of July last year, from the end of January this year, and from the end of July this year, and how this strong echovector slope, and channel, presently still appears intact within this price pattern perspective. This annual echovector price pattern perspective and its price action symmetries might serve to argue as evidence for continued price down-pressure bias from a technical echovector perspective, even in the wake of both the active presidential cycle echovector's and the congressional cycle echovector's current strong timing up-biases going forward into this week (and with respect to their potential weights on shorter-term swing trading this year).
We should begin to notice a key pivot in the currently active congressional cycle echovector this week if these longer-term price echoes become mitigated by nearer-term (and subsumptive) annual, bi-quarterly, and quarterly price down-pressures, and statistically significant price divergences in the longer turn cycles and patterns begin to emerge. These divergences do happen, but they tend to be rarer occurrences than consistent echoes with possibly alternative amplitudes. This week will prove very interesting.
Conclusions and Positioning Implications
Remaining nimble may be the key this week. I've mentioned that I plan to look at opportunities to add to a short-term swing trading position in the TLT I opened last week, but I will keep an eye on the annual, bi-annual, and extremely strong quarterly price down-pressures and downward momentums evidenced in the above chart. I will also look for possible continuations in these down-pressures, as well as look for a failure in the price echo (and similar strong price extension) of the two-year congressional cycle echovector, a failure that could result in a dramatic downward pivoting of this echovector as we move through the next two weeks.
I also remain open to closing out my short-term long in these events, and considering a position reversal. A breakout above the downward projection of the downtrending bi-annual echovector (highlighted in solid aqua blue), which also so very interestingly reflects the slope of the currently active annual echovector for last week's (and this year's) price low would be reinforcing and bullish. But even this potential breakout should be viewed within the context of the two (solid blue purple) presidential cycle forward price vectors pointing to the end of the year and the beginning of next year, as measured from this spring's top.
Regarding any long-term short positions that may still be open from that top, I would tend to consider them primarily mature, especially in the short term and at the current level of extension, and to possibly be at risk. Therefore, I would be ready to monitor them closely, and be analyzing their potential cover or continuance within short-term trading considerations.
If you believe the time has come to re-enter the treasury long bond, I suggest using active and adjustable straddling positions to manage your exposure to general price level changes in either direction. Setting advanced management straddles at key coordinate forecast levels is an effective and opportune measure, and advanced trade strategy I think prudent to mention. Such an approach to the bond market at this time could prove very valuable at engaging and effectively managing risk and reward. One way to employ such a straddle would be to utilize the TLT ETF mentioned in this analysis by setting up an advanced trade technology approach (see "On-Off-Through Vector Target Price Switch") to positioning and position management, with appropriate dynamic triggers and stops included -- for example, at $106.50 on the TLT.
To perform the short side of the straddle, set a short trigger below $106.50 on the TLT pre-programmed as a "repeating short trigger switch" at this trigger level on reverse downtick action through the trigger price, with stops set to activate on reverse uptick up-through action. To perform the long side of the straddle, set a long trigger above 106.50 pre-programmed as a "repeating long trigger switch" on reverse uptick action through the trigger, with stops set to activate on reverse downtick down-through action.
I'm hoping the EchoVector Pivot Point Analysis Perspectives provided in this article help lend additional context to your potentially already broad and extensive bond market view and analysis, and that they help you to further sharpen your clarity and insight. I always recommend considering a broad range of considerations, analysis, and approaches when assessing the markets for any investment decision.
Color Code Guide for Charts
  1. Presidential Cycle EchoVector (Four-Year): Long White
  2. Congressional Cycle EchoVector (Two-Year, Day of week): Yellow
  3. Annual Cycle EchoVector (One-Year): Red
  4. Bi-Quarterly Cycle EchoVector (Six Months): Blue
  5. Quarterly Cycle EchoVector (Three Months): Grey
  6. Select Support and/or Resistance Vectors and/or Related Price Extension Vectors (of Varied Lengths): Navy blue and/or Blue Purple
Thanks for reading.
Which Seeking Alpha App is best for you?
Seeking Alpha Portfolio
Tech Investor
ETF investor
Energy Investor
Email me a link to open from my phone:
Continue

Share this article

Wednesday, July 31, 2013

Silver: SLV ETF: Today's EchoVector Pivot Point Chart And Analysis

Along with gold, silver's dramatic price drop has been in the news this year, and recently many articles have started to appear suggesting that a potential bounce in silver prices may now be coming.

In this regard, today is a very timely day for a review of the annual silver price chart from an Echovector Price Analysis Perspective for the occurrence of possible annual price symmetries that may be forming, and these formation's trading implications.

In this analysis I will focus on a daily action price chart of the SLV ETF as our price chart proxy for silver metals market price action.

(Left click on image of chart to open image in new tab. Right click on image opened in new tab to further zoom EchoVector Analysis chart image illustrations and highlights.)

Looking at the chart above, we can see a very significant and clear symmetry may be emerging in the key active annual echovector re-affirmed from the this year's current low (about a month ago) on Thursday June 27, and the low from its corresponding echo-back-date one year earlier on Thursday June 28, 2012.

The trade price box that followed until its breakout last August 20TH appears so far to be reforming this year and in remarkable coordination.

This echovector price detection presents a potentially interesting swing trade assessment opportunity starting this week, which goes to the beginning of August and on to August's significant 3RD Saturday options expiration date as well.
From there we note silver's strong price up-draft occurred last year and lasted well into mid-September.

This price activity last year might seem particularly compelling and suggestive from a echovector pivot point analysis point of view regarding silver's outlook over the next month this year's potential swing trade.

The more astute analysts will likely focus from now forward on silver's price action within the green highlighted time-price box this year depicted on the chart, especially if silver's price action forward stays above the ascending green echo-price support vector within the box that corresponds to silver's price path last year within the same timeframe.

You can see CommodityPivots for further updates that might develop regarding this analysis.
Thanks. And good luck in your silver investing and trading!

FOR CURRENT ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS COMMODITY CHARTS

FOR CURRENT ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS COMMODITY CHARTS
CLICK HERE

Is Gold's Current Reversal Rally A Trap for Bulls?

This is an excellent and well-timed question regarding the current gold metals market rally off the end of Junes's Low of about $114 on the GLD ETF Price equivalency basis.  Are we in a short lived bull trap rally, or have we reversed on a longer term horizon. Is there more downside to lower lows to go this year?

For powerful echovector technical analysis perspectives on the gold metals market, and on current echovector dynamics in effect within given time-frame references in these markets, see GoldPivots

"/GC GOLD FUTURES ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS CHART UPDATES: RIGHT ON TARGET"

and,

"GLD ETF ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS CHART UPDATE WITH KEY TARGET ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PROJECTIONS AND ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT ECHOBACKDATES HIGHLIGHTED"

and,

"GLD ETF GOLD ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS CHARTS UPDATE BY GOLDPIVOTS WITH WEEKLY KEY ACTIVE WEEKLY ECHOVECTORS,ECHOBACKTIMEPOINTS, COORDINATE FORECAST ECHOVECTORS, SUPPORT AND RESISTENCE ECHOVECTORS, AND ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PROJECTIONS ILLUSTRATED AND HIGHLIGHTED"

Perhaps more surprising to some than others, much of what's currently happening in the gold metals market regarding 'unfolding price action' has already been "baked into the cake."

With this in mind, I would presently be careful about confidently working long bias positions much past September of this year.  More needs to be shown before going forward beyond then.  

And I would keep my stops strong and tight regarding any long biased plays opened and worked since the GLD ETF $114 price equivalency basis (as suggested at the time).  And I would definitely stay in active management of my current open positions, aware that the current reversal-to-long bias could fail.

SILVER: SLV ETF: Today's EchoVector Pivot Point Analysis EasyGuideChart

WITH KEY ACTIVE ECHOVECTORS,
FORECAST ECHOVECTORS 
ECHOBACKDATES 
AND ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINTS 
ILLUSTRATED AND HIGHLIGHTED

SLV ETF 18-MONTH DAILY OHLC




Friday, July 26, 2013

OILPIVOTS.COM /QM OIL FUTURES ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS CHART: FRIDAY 26 JULY 2013 1235PM EDST: RIGHT ON TARGET

RIGHT ON TARGET: SEE http://echovectorvest.blogspot.com/2013/07/oilpivotscom-qm-oil-futures-echovector.html FOR PRIOR CONTEXT AND EXTENDED ANALYSIS AND MULTI-PERSPECTIVE INTEGRATION.

 /QM CRUDE OIL FUTURES 12-MONTH DAILY OHLC

Click on Chart to enlarge and right click to open in new tab and zoom further.

SILVER: SLV ETF CHART: 5-DAY: ABBREVIATED PUBLIC SIMPLE VERSIONS