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Sunday, October 21, 2012

THE GLD, GTU AND /GC IN THE VERY SHORT TERM, AND THEN A BIT FURTHER OUT

GTUGLDUBGIAUDGPDZZDGLDGZ,UGLGLLSGOLAGOLSLVSPYDIACEFDBSPSLVSIVRUSV
Looking closely at the GLD and the /GC and the Quarterly EchoVectors and Quarterly EchoBackWeeks for this coming week, and for the past 2 years (a full Congressional Cycle period length perspective), we uncover a relatively persistent pattern of uncovered relative strength with respect to the several weeks leading into the front side of this coming week.
The last discernible quarterly echo-week bottom came in about a month ago, and quite like a charm. But little price lift ensued subsequently, perhaps as a result of the already powerful central bank induced price stimulation and uplift, coupled with the often regularly manifested seasonal and cyclical support since late July.
Nimble traders may now be looking for support, and again, some, at least, temporary upside rprice eversal in the gold metals the first part of this coming week after these past few relative weak weeks; however, with relative strength potentially subsiding fairly quickly at the end of this coming week and early next week.
Cyclicalists can find and review this technical tendency by looking at a weekly OHLC Chart of the gold Metals for the last 3 years and then focusing on the 13 week (quarterly) cycle. Extending this weekly OHLC perspective out further to a full five years (to include a full 4-Year Presidential Cycle phase within) may also give gold bulls, in their strong enthusiasm, reason to pause just a bit after this coming week. 
Focusing on the EchoBackPeriod Quarterly Cycle looking forward 3 weeks after the close of this coming week might also give some cuclical technical pause to bull enthusiasm too.
However, looking at the longer term perspective and current price dynamics, echovectors, and various Fourier distinguished cyclical price histories and patterns within the overall Gold price track, and also including current fundamental macroeconomics concerns, such as further inflationary prospects and global political economic stability, such, regarding such things as energy and international sovereign debt issues, we tend to remain overall bullish on the precious metals at the present
However, it will be interesting to see how the prospects of a possibly new US Central Bank Fed Chairman might play out on future domestic and global inflation dynamics, and on the price of precious metals (as a significant hedge) within the context of a possibly altered Federal Reserve approach, from a potentially emerging new Federal Reserve Bank Chairman's perspectives and then instituted approaches going forward, should such become the case.

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