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Friday, April 5, 2013


  • The Regime Change Cycle, The Presidential Cycle, And The Congressional Cycle: Where We Are Now In The Stock Market: A Look At The SPX (Reprint from mid-March 2013)
    Mar 12, 2013 1:09 AM | about stocks: SPYSHSSOSDSQQQPSQQLDQID,IWMRWMUWMUKKTWMDIADOGDDMDXDTLTTLHIEFUUPUDN,GLDGTUDGZUGLDZZGLLIAUSGOLSLVDBSAGQZSLCUPALL,PPLT
    Presented Chart: SPX: S&P 500 COMPOSITE INDEX
    A 21-Year Weekly OHLC Chart With Key 8-Year Regime Change Cycle EchoVectors (RCCEVs) and 4-Year Presidential Cycle EchoVectors (PCEVs) and Coordinated Forecast EchoVectors (FEVs) and Key Coordinated Echo-Back Dates (EBDs) Illustrated:
    A Chart With Active and Key Bi-Regime Change Cycle EVs, Regime Change Cycle EVs, Presidential Cycle EVs, Coordinate Forecast EVs From Key And Select Pivot Point EBDs and With Upside and Downside Coordinate Pivot Extension Vectors Generated From Key Coordinated Focus Interest Echo-Back Time-Points and Time-Periods Highlighted.
    Key Coordinated Echo-Back Dates and Cycle Echo-Back Time-Points. Key Highlighted And Coordinated EchoVectors And Coordinated Period UpVectors, DownVectors and Support Vectors, and Their Colors, As Illustrated On Chart:
    1. 16-Year Bi-Regime Change Cycle EchoVector With Coordinate EchoBackDate:
    12/16/96 - 12/17/12 Solid Green
    Long Solid White and Long Spaced White Toward Bottom
    2. 8-Year Regime Change Cycle EchoVectors With Coordinate EchoBackDates:
    3/1/99 - 3/5/07 Medium Length Solid White
    7/19/99 - 7/16/07 Medium Length Solid White
    8/4/03 - 8/8/11 Medium Length Solid White
    3/8/04 - 3/12/12 Medium Length Solid Yellow
    3. 4-Year Regime Change Cycle EchoVectors With Coordinate EchoBackDates: 11/17/08 - 11/12/12 Medium Length Solid Blue
    All Other Medium Length Solid Blue Vectors and Medium Length Spaced Blue Vectors Are Regime Change Cycle Period Coordinated Parallels of the Above Presidential Cycle EchoVector.
    5. 4-Year 5-Month Coordinate, and Parallel, Regime Change Cycle DownVectors: Medium Length Solid Red: Four
    6. Incumbent Presidential Election Year: Green Dot, Short Red Line
    7. Republican Presidential Victory Year: Red Square
    8. Democratic Presidential Victory Year: Blue Square
    9. 1-year 8-Month Coordinate Regime Change Cycle Period Support Vector: Short Solid Blue
    10. Off Year (Non-Presidential) Congressional Cycle: Yellow Square
    Analytical Points of Interest:
    1. Note that the year of an Incumbent Presidential Election, as won by the incumbent, and regardless of party, constituted a strong price flex point year, and inaugurated 3 following years of STRONG PPRICE MELT-UP AND STOCK PRICE VALUE GAINS.
    Also note the major Price Level Decline that followed that 3-year melt-up period.
    2. Note that the strong green bi-regime change cycle echovector is being fulfilled in steps, both last year and this year, and is consistent with regime change cycle period price level action in 2004 and 2005 as well. Then note that this price action is still taking place within the strong but less vigorous white regime change cycle and longer white coordinate bi-regime change cycle echovector at the base, which may dominate and limit the upside range.
    However, noting both these foregoing conditions, also note that last years and this year's key regime change cycle echovector, as effected last summer by global central bank coordinated intervention, and highlighted in yellow, is now tilting the echovector price pathway up beyond the white vector coordinated pathway echo climb rate and towards the more vigorous green climb rate. How long might this echo price coorination and echo-symmetry continue in both price extension and in time extension, at this rate, before moderating factors may prevail?
    The ProtectVEST and AdvanceVEST By EchoVEctorVEST MDPP ProtectVEST by EchoVectorVEST methodology is particularly well suited to help enhance major market exposed portfolio value security and overall portfolio value performance and return through the application and utilization of specialized derivatives as 'portfolio value insurancing' hedges when also combined with the power of the Motion Dynamics and Precision Pivots Forecast Model and Alert Paradigm and the ProtectVEST and AdvanceVEST By EchoVectorVEST Active Advanced Risk Management Trade Technology and Active Advanced Management Position Value Optimization Method in such a market environment, and particularly in utilizing its advanced OTAPS technology
    (Click on chart to enlarge and click on chart again to open new tab then click on chart in new tab to zoom)
    FOR FURTHER EXTENDED ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY
    See
    and article, Dow Chart: Toppy Or Not?, at
    OTAPS ALERT at
    and more market Commentary References at
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    For information on EchoVectorVEST MDPP Active Advance Management Trade Technology and Active Advance Management Position Value Optimization Methodology see:
    *Daytraders interested in shorter-term market mechanics and OTAPS ALERTS also taking advantage of intra-day time-horizon price deltas and advanced OTAPS position management technologies for the DIA, GLD, and USO, also see:
    Also see Chronologies and Summaries and Results for the EchoVectorVEST MDPP Major Price Delta and Price Pivot ALERTS for the Gold Metals Market (GLD ETF /GC Futures) and the Crude Oil Market (USO ETF and /QM and /CL Futures) in Q2, 2012, and in Q1.
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    FOR TODAY'S KEY CHARTS AND ANALYSIS, SEE:
    AND,
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    Click on the links below for direct access to the following:
    OUR RECORD:
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    EXHIBIT WEEK RESULTS:
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    www.echovectorvest.blogspot.com/ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP HIGH FREQUENCY TRADING DEMONSTRATION AND POSITION TERMINOLOGY
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    Again, this post is for information purposes only.
    Before making any investment decisions we recommend you first consult with you personal financial advisor.
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