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ANALYSIS, ALERTS, OTAPS SIGNALS, CHART ILLUSTRATIONS, AND COMMENTARY

Tuesday, September 17, 2013

GLD ETF ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINTS FRAMECHART UPDATE AND ALERT







Monday, September 16, 2013


GLD ETF ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINTS FRAMECHART FROM 9/3/13 AND LAST MONTH'S ALERT





Thursday, September 5, 2013


GOLDPIVOTS: GLD: ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINTS MULTI-PERSPECTIVE FRAMECHARTS UPDATE SEE FRIDAY'S ALERT AND ARTICLE "Today Is An Important Day For Gold" AT http://seekingalpha.com/article/1666232-today-is-an-important-day-for-gold

GOLDPIVOTS: GLD: ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINTS MULTI-PERSPECTIVE FRAMECHARTS UPDATE


SEE FRIDAY'S ALERT AND ARTICLE 

"Today Is An Important Day For Gold"

TODAY'S TOMORROW 

MULTI-PERSPECTIVE ECHOVECTOR FRAMECHART UPDATE 

WITH KEY ACTIVE ECHOVECTORS ILLUSTRATED AND HIGHLIGHTED

1. ANNUAL ECHOVECTOR: WHITE
2. BI-ANNUAL (CONGRESSIONAL CYCLE): YELLOW

(Click to enlarge. Open in new tab and click to enlarge and click again to further zoom.)

GLD ETF 1-YEAR DAILY OHLC



GLD ETF 2-YEAR DAILY OHLC







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Saturday, August 31, 2013

GOLDPIVOTS AND SILVER PIVOTS: GLD AND SLV: Reiteration: Gold Analysis And Alert: The Current Importance of Today, And Of The Next 2 Weeks Going Into September's Primary Option's Expiration


Friday, August 30, 2013


Gold is entering a critical technical period starting today, Friday August 30.

A Head's Up Alert is being issued today.

ANALYTICAL CONTEXT

Looking at today's annual echobackdate (FRIDAY 8/31, 2012), we saw a surge in prices on Friday a year ago.   From that surge we saw follow through the next week. that roughly equaled the Friday surge extension. In the week that followed we saw our final surge on Thursday that roughly equaled that same extension again,and proved to be our momentum top for the year. As was in 2011, options expiration in September in 2012 was our expiration high month.

Yesterday we closed on the annual echovector that has constituted our options expiration's ladder steps up the last two months.  this annual echovector runs from the Monday after primary options expiration Saturday in July 2012 to July 2013  and again from August 2012 to August 2013 on our climb for lows each (so far) year.

This echovector is interestingly, also the same slope momentum as the 2 year echovector running from the September top in 2011 to this Week's top and which further interestingly runs through this past Tuesday's weekly top echo-back-date last year, 2012.  This indicates to me this is a power symmetry price momentum echovector and should be a key to our present analysis.

Should we not get the upside echo strength that occurred last year, a relative downward pivot in the annual echovechor, with a significant slope momentum differential will start to occur.  This will show itself quickly tomorrow, and only become more enhanced the next two weeks, should no echo uplift occur.  Non occurrence will put additional downside weight on gold prices.

Note also the failure in gold after Options expiration going into the next quarter in both 2011 and 2012.  This added weight only compounds downside technical weakness.

SHORT SUMMARY

1. Today is an important day regarding annual echovector strength and potential echovector downside pivoting if no echo-strength occurs.

2.  The next 2 weeks needs to see upside follow through or the annual echovector downside pivoting becomes dramatic.

3. The Thursday before September's primary options expiration currently appears to be a primary as an apparent focus interest opportunity time-point  short regardless of follow through and price level these next 2 week within the 2 year perspective.

Silver Trader's may want to review their prior silver price history and/or silver charts for the potential of correlating applicable implications.






Friday, August 30, 2013




Today Is An Important Day For Gold

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in GLDNUGTSLV over the next 72 hours. I may also instead open a short term swing trade short if we do not proceed with sufficient upside the next 3 trading days. (More...)
Today is the end of August's trading, and August proved to be a very good month for gold. The gold metals based GLD ETF has rallied from a current annual low on June 28th, exactly two month ago, of under $115 on an intraday basis, to an impressive comeback price above $135 at yesterday's close: a solid gain of over 20 points, or 17%. Analysts are now debating whether or not gold is overbought, and if it will reverse its price course again, and continue back into its two year slide to lower lows, or if instead it is headed towards a longer-term rally from here? The $135 price level is an important technical price target.
In addition to these impressive two months of gains and today being the close of the month of August and the beginning of a long and popular weekend in the U.S., the weekend is also overshadowed by significant international concerns in the Middle East. Syria remains front page news, the oil market is up strongly on possible Western military intervention in Syrian and related supply concerns, much of the commodity complex is following, and trader's additional favor for gold in such an international atmosphere would historically seem apparent.
Also in Southwest Asia, India's currency is again being hard hit this week, and gold further attractiveness in that country, already had a strong commercial appetite for gold, is further appreciating. The euro is sliding again late this week also, which could stimulate additional gold buying interest there, along with the Syrian issue. Many analysts in the U.S. are concerned with the potential of a September stock market sell-off here, which could also stimulate additional gold buying interest here if stock market weakness from August does continue into historically seasonally weaker September, and a sell-off in stocks even accelerates. And September is right around the corner from today.
These fundamental reasons makes today an important day for gold. Especially regarding the question of whether or not it can hold onto prices at or above the $135 level on the GLD.
I also believe there are additional important technical considerations, from an EchoVector Analysis Perspective, that add particular importance and significance to today's trading in gold, especially with respect to September's overall price outlook. I will highlight these considerations on the following chart of the GLD ETF.
(Right click on image of chart to open image in new tab. Left click on the image opened in the new tab to further zoom EchoVector Analysis chart image illustrations and highlights.)
GLD ETF 2-YEAR DAILY OHLC ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE

(Click to enlarge)
Looking at the above chart, we can see that on today's echo-back-date one year ago, Friday, August 31, 2012), gold prices surge forward. From that surge we see that a good follow-through occurred the week that followed further lifting gold prices an equally impressive amount. And in the next following week, we again had a surge that lifted prices again that amount to levels which proved to be close to our upward momentum top for the year. This new price level, achieved over these weeks last year, carried forward into last September's primary options expiration weekend. The period from Friday August 31st last year to two weeks later into the close of September expiration proved very important to gold prices, and that strong Friday at the end of August was key.
Additionally, we can also see that yesterday we closed on the annual echovector (dotted white) that constitutes the same active echovectors (solid white) for our preceding options expirations in August and July. Yesterday would be the third step up on that active echovector shown on the chart. This annual echovector runs from the Monday after primary options expiration in July 2012 to July 2013 and again from August 2012 to August 2013 in gold's climb from its prior lows two to three months earlier each year.
This annual echovector is very significant also for the fact that it has the same slope momentum as the two-year echovector running from the 2011 September top to this week's top on Tuesday. It is also significant that this echovector runs through this past Tuesday's weekly echo-back-date top last year, before trading moved into that Friday, and its price surge. This further indicates how this echovector contains a powerful and currently active price symmetry momentum echovector slope and that it is key to our present echovector analysis.
If we do not get the upside echo price strength that occurred last year today, a relative downward pivot in the annual echovector with a significant slope momentum force difference will start to occur. This will begin to show itself quickly today, and could only become more enhanced the next two weeks if gold prices fail to further sufficiently, or if they begin to falter altogether. This pivot would put additional downside weight on gold prices going forward. Also see the significant failure in gold prices after September options expiration in both 2011 and 2012. Added weight from a pivot in the annual echovector going into the next two weeks would only further weaken what appears to be a relative weak period coming up on an echovector basis after September expiration regardless.
If positive gold price action does occur today, and good price-lift and follow-through from it occurs the next two weeks into September's options expiration consistent with price levels gains that occurred each of the last two years, then gold bulls may become satisfied. The more positively sloped two-year aqua-blue echovector would then manifest itself forward further from its Monday, July 22, confirmation from the June 28th low. The gold market has been on a trajectory consistent with this $147.50 GLD ETF price target since its late June low, but I believe it has some heavy lifting to do the next two weeks in order to achieve this target. This certainly makes today (and the next two weeks it sets up) important in the gold market.
Thanks for reading. And good luck in your gold investing and trading.
BOOKMARK / READ LATER



Thursday, September 5, 2013


GOLDPIVOTS: GLD: ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINTS MULTI-PERSPECTIVE FRAMECHARTS UPDATE SEE FRIDAY'S ALERT AND ARTICLE "Today Is An Important Day For Gold" AT http://seekingalpha.com/article/1666232-today-is-an-important-day-for-gold

GOLDPIVOTS: GLD: ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINTS MULTI-PERSPECTIVE FRAMECHARTS UPDATE


SEE FRIDAY'S ALERT AND ARTICLE 

"Today Is An Important Day For Gold"

TODAY'S TOMORROW 

MULTI-PERSPECTIVE ECHOVECTOR FRAMECHART UPDATE 

WITH KEY ACTIVE ECHOVECTORS ILLUSTRATED AND HIGHLIGHTED

1. ANNUAL ECHOVECTOR: WHITE
2. BI-ANNUAL (CONGRESSIONAL CYCLE): YELLOW

(Click to enlarge. Open in new tab and click to enlarge and click again to further zoom.)

GLD ETF 1-YEAR DAILY OHLC



GLD ETF 2-YEAR DAILY OHLC




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