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FRAMECHART EXAMPLES: DAY, 2D, 5D, 10D, MONTH, QUARTER, 2Q, YEAR, 2Y, 4Y, MORE (Click And Refresh)

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TODAY'S POSTS

POST REFERENCE INDEX

QUICK REFERENCE INDEX TO THIS MONTH'S, THIS YEAR'S, AND BACK YEARS' POSTS

TODAY'S MOST RECENT MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS PREMIUM DESKS RELEASE POST NOW FREE ONLINE

TODAY'S MOST RECENT MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS PREMIUM DESKS RELEASE POST NOW FREE ONLINE
ANALYSIS, ALERTS, OTAPS SIGNALS, CHART ILLUSTRATIONS, AND COMMENTARY

Saturday, April 26, 2014

DIA ETF ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS ALERT RESULTS: POWERFUL RESULTS ON LONGSIDE BIAS ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS AND STRATEGY FROM 4/11/2014 LONGSIDE BIAS ALERT TO 4/22/2014 SHORTSIDE BIAS ALERT AND KEY DIRECTIONAL BIAS REVERSAL : POWERFUL RESULTS RIGHT ON TARGET: ALERT BIAS FULFILLED: CAPITAL GAIN LOCK (CGL) & CAPITAL GAIN CAPTURE (CGC) SUMMARY: DOWPIVOTS.COM AND SPYPIVOTS.COM AND QQQPIVOTS.COM AND ETFPIVOTS.COM AND E-MINIPIVOTS.COM AND MARKET-PIVOTS.COM: POWERFUL 11-DAY STRATEGY AND RESULTS RIGHT ON TARGET: YIELDS 10.7% GAIN IN 11 CALENDAR DAYS.

SUMMARY SINCE MAJOR PIVOT POINT OTAPS-PPS ALERT WITH POLARITY BIAS REVERSAL (TO LONG SIDE) ISSUED ON FRIDAY 4/11/2014 AT DIA ETF PEB PROX 160.75


LARGE CAP EQUITY COMPOSITES: DIA ETF PROXY PEB BASIS


THE KEY ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS TIMING/PRICE PIVOT POINT POINT OTAPS-PPS ALERT ISSUED ON 4/22/2014 AT DIA ETF PROXY PEB $160.75 WITH ST TIME/PRICE DIRECTIONAL BIAS REVERSAL - FROM UP-PRESSURE (LONGSIDE) BIAS TO DOWN-PRESSURE (SHORTSIDE)  BIAS PROVED RIGHT ON TARGET WITH POWERFUL RESULTS.

TUESDAY'S 4/22  KEY OTAPS-PPS ALERT AND ALERT REITERATION AND POSITION POLARITY DIRECTIONAL BIAS REVERSAL FROM LONGSIDE TO SHORTSIDE BIAS WITH OTAPS-PPS RESET AND ADJUSTMENT PRICE LEVEL UPDATE ISSUED AT DIA ETF PROXY PEB $164.80 (TRIGGERED) AND $165.05 (TRIGGERED) PROVED POWERFUL RESULTS FOR CGC SINCE PRIOR MAJOR PIVOT POINT ALERT WITH DIRECTIONAL BIAS REVERSAL ON 4/11/2014 AT DIA ETF PROXY PEB $1160.75 FOR DOUBLE-DOUBLE STRATEGY (UTILIZING RELATED ULTRA ETFS AND MARGIN)  AND YIELDS POWERFUL RESULTS:   EST CGC  =  4 x (165.05 - 160.75) = $17.20 POINTS OR 10.7% FOR TIME-PERIOD EXPENDITURE 4/11-4/22 =  10.7% ESTIMATE GROSS GAIN PER 11 DAYS EMPLOYMENT

SEE LAST MONTH'S ARTICLES AND SYNOPSIS OF THIS MONTH'S STRATEGIES AND ALERTS: POWERFUL FORECAST RESULTS RIGHT ON TARGET: WEEK OF MONDAY 4/21/2014

ABBREVIATION CODE

ST
Short-Term

IT
Long-Term

CGL
Capital Gain Lock

CGC
Capital Gain Capture

TD
To Date (From Implementation)

EST-G
General Gross Estimated Capital Gain 

IP
Inflection Point Time/Price

EVPP
EchoVector Pivot Point Time/Price

PPP
EchoVector Pivot Pivot Point Projection Time/Price

OTAPS-PPS
OTAPS Position Cover and/or Position Polarity Switch Price

PEB
Price Equivalency Basis





Friday, April 11, 2014


DIA OTAPS WITH LFOUR OTAPS 160.75: POWERFUL RESULTS SINCE MAJOR ALERT ISSUED ON APRIL 3RD 2014 AT DIA PEB 165.60 ON LARGE CAP EQUITIES COMPOSITE INDEXES AND RELATED ETFS AND FUTURES: RIGHT ON TARGET

SPYPIVOTS.COM AND E-MINIPIVOTS.COM AND MARKET-PIVOTS.COM AND ETFPIVOTS.COM: MDPP PREMIUM DESK PARTIAL RELEASE TO FREE ONLINE MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTER GROUP BY BRIGHTHOUSE PUBLISHING AND TO SEEKINGALPHA.COM

THE MARKET PIVOTS FORECASTER AND POSITION MANAGEMENT NEWSLETTER




ECHOVECTOR FRAMECHART ABBREVIATED COLOR CODE GUIDE 

(QUICK-CODE GUIDE)

PCEV
16-YEAR MATURITY CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  PEACH

RCCEV
8-YEAR REGIME CHANGE CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  AQUA-BLUE

PCEV
4-YEAR PRESIDENTIAL CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  WHITE

CCEV
2-YEAR CONGRESSIONAL CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  YELLOWAQUA-BLUE

AEV
ANNUAL ECHOVECTORS:  WHITEREDGREEN

2QEV
BI-QUARTERLY ECHOVECTORS:  YELLOWAQUA-BLUE

QEV
QUARTERLY ECHOVECTORS:  WHITEGREEN

MEV
MONTHLY ECHOVECTORS: PEACH

2WEV
BI-WEEKLY ECHOVECTORS: YELLOW

WEV: WEEKLY ECHOVECTORS: WHITE

SELECT COORDINATE EXTENSION VECTORS: BLUE-PURPLEREDGREEN

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE
/es 123pm dst  3-month daily ohlc qev with mev perspectives


/es 151pm dst  ohlc with mev, 3wev, 2wev, and wev (EDT-TPP: Friday echobackdatetimeandpricepoint hourly morning block  highs) perspectives highlighted

/es 154pm dst  ohlc with mev, 3wev, 2wev, and wev (EDT-TPP: Friday echobackdatetimeandpricepoint hourly morning block highs, and CFEV: friday close and Monday low) perspectives highlighted

PRIOR PREMIUM POST RELEASES TO MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTERS FOR ADDITIONAL CONTEXT

/ES S&P EMINI FUTURES PREMIUM DESK RELEASE FRAMECHARTS AND GUIDEMAP UPDATES FROM MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS: FRIDAY 3/21/14 1123AM DST UPDATE: AMERICAN MARKET REGULAR HOURS UPDATE: SYPIVOTS.COM & MARKET-PIVOTS.COM & MARKETPIVOTSONLINE.COM & E-MINIPIVOTS.COM & EMININEWS.COM & ETFPIVOTS.COM

ECHOVECTOR FRAMECHART ABBREVIATED COLOR CODE GUIDE 

(QUICK-CODE GUIDE)

PCEV
16-YEAR MATURITY CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  PEACH

RCCEV
8-YEAR REGIME CHANGE CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  AQUA-BLUE

PCEV
4-YEAR PRESIDENTIAL CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  WHITE

CCEV
2-YEAR CONGRESSIONAL CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  YELLOWAQUA-BLUE

AEV
ANNUAL ECHOVECTORS:  WHITEREDGREEN

2QEV
BI-QUARTERLY ECHOVECTORS:  YELLOWAQUA-BLUE

QEV
QUARTERLY ECHOVECTORS:  WHITEGREEN

MEV
MONTHLY ECHOVECTORS: PEACH

2WEV
BI-WEEKLY ECHOVECTORS: YELLOW

WEV: WEEKLY ECHOVECTORS: WHITE

SELECT COORDINATE EXTENSION VECTORS: BLUE-PURPLEREDGREEN

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE
/es 1123AM dst  3-month daily ohlc qev with mev perspectives


/es 1141AM dst  3-month hourly ohlc qev with mev perspectives


POWERFUL FORECAST RESULTS RIGHT ON TARGET

THIS WEEK'S AND LAST WEEKS POWERFUL CAPITAL GAIN CAPTURE  RETURNS ON FORECASTED QUARTERLY ECHOVECTOR'S FORWARD PATH FORMATION IMPACT PREEMINANCE WITH THIS TWO-WEEK FOCUS INTEREST OPPORTUNITY PERIOD AND SYMMETRY TRANSPOSITION PERIOD

Basic Call Position Management Side Results


Basic Put Position Management Side Results


"EchoVector Analysis:  Powerful Analytics Working For You, Again and Again..."

"EchoVector Pivot Points:  Coordinating the Past And The Present To Find Reasoned Market Bias In The Future!"

Copyright EchoVectorVEST MDPP Precision Pivots. All Rights Reserved.

PRIOR PREMIUM POST RELEASES TO MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTERS FOR ADDITIONAL CONTEXT

Friday, March 21, 2014

/ES S&P EMINI FUTURES PREMIUM DESK RELEASE FRAMECHARTS AND GUIDEMAP UPDATES FROM MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS: FRIDAY 3/21/14 830AM DST UPDATE: AMERICAN MARKET REGULAR HOURS UPDATE: SYPIVOTS.COM & MARKET-PIVOTS.COM & MARKETPIVOTSONLINE.COM & E-MINIPIVOTS.COM & EMININEWS.COM & ETFPIVOTS.COM

ECHOVECTOR FRAMECHART ABBREVIATED COLOR CODE GUIDE 

(QUICK-CODE GUIDE)

PCEV
16-YEAR MATURITY CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  PEACH

RCCEV
8-YEAR REGIME CHANGE CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  AQUA-BLUE

PCEV
4-YEAR PRESIDENTIAL CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  WHITE

CCEV
2-YEAR CONGRESSIONAL CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  YELLOWAQUA-BLUE

AEV
ANNUAL ECHOVECTORS:  WHITEREDGREEN

2QEV
BI-QUARTERLY ECHOVECTORS:  YELLOWAQUA-BLUE

QEV
QUARTERLY ECHOVECTORS:  WHITEGREEN

MEV
MONTHLY ECHOVECTORS: PEACH

2WEV
BI-WEEKLY ECHOVECTORS: YELLOW

WEV: WEEKLY ECHOVECTORS: WHITE

SELECT COORDINATE EXTENSION VECTORS: BLUE-PURPLEREDGREEN

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE
/es 833AM dst  3-month daily ohlc qev with mev perspectives

BONUS PERSPECTIVES

914am dst Snapshot

932am dst Snapshot


942am dst

PRIOR PREMIUM POST RELEASES TO MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTERS FOR ADDITIONAL CONTEXT

Tuesday, March 18, 2014

/ES S&P EMINI FUTURES PREMIUM DESK RELEASE FRAMECHARTS AND GUIDEMAP UPDATES FROM MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS: TUESDAY 3/18/14 340PM DST UPDATE: AMERICAN MARKET REGULAR HOURS UPDATE: SYPIVOTS.COM & MARKET-PIVOTS.COM & MARKETPIVOTSONLINE.COM & E-MINIPIVOTS.COM & EMININEWS.COM & ETFPIVOTS.COM

ABBREVIATED (QUICK-CODE) COLOR CODE GUIDE

PCEV
16-YEAR MATURITY CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  PEACH

RCCEV
8-YEAR REGIME CHANGE CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  AQUA-BLUE

PCEV
4-YEAR PRESIDENTIAL CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  WHITE

CCEV
2-YEAR CONGRESSIONAL CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  YELLOWAQUA-BLUE

AEV
ANNUAL ECHOVECTORS:  WHITEREDGREEN

2QEV
BI-QUARTERLY ECHOVECTORS:  YELLOWAQUA-BLUE

QEV
QUARTERLY ECHOVECTORS:  WHITEGREEN

MEV
MONTHLY ECHOVECTORS: PEACH

2WEV
BI-WEEKLY ECHOVECTORS: YELLOW

WEV: WEEKLY ECHOVECTORS: WHITE

SELECT COORDINATE EXTENSION VECTORS: BLUE-PURPLEREDGREEN
/es 340pm dst  3-month hourly ohlc qev perspective


PRIOR PREMIUM POST RELEASES TO MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTERS FOR ADDITIONAL CONTEXT

Monday, March 17, 2014

/ES S&P EMINI FUTURES PREMIUM DESK RELEASE FRAMECHARTS AND GUIDEMAP UPDATES FROM MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS: TUESDAY 3/18/14 112AM DST UPDATE: ASIA MARKET REGULAR HOURS UPDATE: SYPIVOTS.COM & MARKET-PIVOTS.COM & MARKETPIVOTSONLINE.COM & E-MINIPIVOTS.COM & EMININEWS.COM & ETFPIVOTS.COM

ABBREVIATED (QUICK-CODE) COLOR CODE GUIDE

PCEV
16-YEAR MATURITY CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  PEACH

RCCEV
8-YEAR REGIME CHANGE CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  AQUA-BLUE

PCEV
4-YEAR PRESIDENTIAL CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  WHITE

CCEV
2-YEAR CONGRESSIONAL CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  YELLOWAQUA-BLUE

AEV
ANNUAL ECHOVECTORS:  WHITEREDGREEN

2QEV
BI-QUARTERLY ECHOVECTORS:  YELLOWAQUA-BLUE

QEV
QUARTERLY ECHOVECTORS:  WHITEGREEN

MEV
MONTHLY ECHOVECTORS: PEACH

2WEV
BI-WEEKLY ECHOVECTORS: YELLOW

WEV: WEEKLY ECHOVECTORS: WHITE

SELECT COORDINATE EXTENSION VECTORS: BLUE-PURPLEREDGREEN
/es 547pm dst  3-month daily ohlc qev perspective

PRIOR PREMIUM POST RELEASES TO MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTERS FOR ADDITIONAL CONTEXT

Thursday, March 13, 2014


/ES S&P EMINI FUTURES PREMIUM DESK RELEASE FRAMECHARTS AND GUIDEMAP UPDATES FROM MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS: THURSDAY 3/13/14 545PM DST UPDATE: AMERICAN EXTENDED HOURS MARKET UPDATE: SYPIVOTS.COM & MARKET-PIVOTS.COM & MARKETPIVOTSONLINE.COM & E-MINIPIVOTS.COM & EMININEWS.COM & ETFPIVOTS.COM

MATURITY AND REGIME CHANGE AND PRESIDENTIAL AND CONGRESSIONAL AND ANNUAL AND BI-QUARTERLY AND QUARTERLY AND MONTHLY AND BI-WEEKLY AND WEEKLY ECHOVECTORS INCLUSIVE PERSPECTIVES HIGHLIGHTED
ABBREVIATED (QUICK-CODE) COLOR CODE GUIDE

PCEV
16-YEAR MATURITY CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  PEACH

RCCEV
8-YEAR REGIME CHANGE CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  AQUA-BLUE

PCEV
4-YEAR PRESIDENTIAL CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  WHITE

CCEV
2-YEAR CONGRESSIONAL CYCLE  ECHOVECTORS:  YELLOWAQUA-BLUE

AEV
ANNUAL ECHOVECTORS:  WHITEREDGREEN

2QEV
BI-QUARTERLY ECHOVECTORS:  YELLOWAQUA-BLUE

QEV
QUARTERLY ECHOVECTORS:  WHITEGREEN

MEV
MONTHLY ECHOVECTORS: PEACH

2WEV
BI-WEEKLY ECHOVECTORS: YELLOW

WEV: WEEKLY ECHOVECTORS: WHITE

SELECT COORDINATE EXTENSION VECTORS: BLUE-PURPLEREDGREEN
/es 547pm dst  3-month daily ohlc qev perspective

/es 547pm dst  3-month daily ohlc qev perspective

/es 547pm dst  3-month daily ohlc qev perspective

/es 543pm dst  3-month daily ohlc qev perspective

/es 539pm dst  5-year daily ohlc pcev perspective

/es 539pm dst  5-year daily ohlc pcev perspective

/es 535pm dst  3-month daily ohlc qev perspective

/es 535pm dst  20-year weekly ohlc maturitycycle ev perspective

/es 535pm dst  20-year weekly ohlc maturitycycle ev perspective

/es 528pm dst  3-month daily ohlc qev perspective

/es 515pm dst  3-month daily ohlc qev perspective

/es 515pm dst  6-month daily ohlc 2qev perspective

/es 515pm dst  12-month daily ohlc aev perspective

PRIOR PREMIUM POST RELEASES TO MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTERS FOR ADDITIONAL CONTEXT

Thursday, March 13, 2014

/ES S&P EMINI FUTURES PREMIUM DESK RELEASE FRAMECHARTS AND GUIDEMAP UPDATES FROM MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS: THURSDAY 3/13/14 253PM DST UPDATE QUARTERLY AND MONTHLY AND BI-WEEKLY ECHOVECTORS INTEGRATED PERSPECTIVE HIGHLIGHTED

SPYPIVOTS.COM AND E-MINIPIVOTS.COM AND MARKET-PIVOTS.COM AND ETFPIVOTS.COM: MDPP PREMIUM DESK PARTIAL RELEASE TO FREE ONLINE MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTER GROUP BY BRIGHTHOUSE PUBLISHING AND TO SEEKINGALPHA.COM

/ES S&P 500 THURSDAY 3/13/14 253PM DST UPDATE FROM FRIDAY 3/11/14


ANALYSIS, ALERTS, OTAPS SIGNALS, CHART ILLUSTRATIONS, AND COMMENTARY

PRIOR PREMIUM POST RELEASES TO MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTERS FOR ADDITIONAL CONTEXT

Wednesday, March 12, 2014


/ES S&P EMINI FUTURES PREMIUM DESK RELEASE FRAMECHARTS AND GUIDEMAP UPDATES FROM MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS: WEDNESDAY 1200PM DST UPDATE

12PMDST UPDATE


1153AMDST

1158AMDST


PRIOR PREMIUM POST RELEASES TO MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTERS FOR ADDITIONAL CONTEXT

Wednesday, March 12, 2014

/ES S&P EMINI FUTURES PREMIUM DESK RELEASE FRAMECHARTS AND GUIDEMAP UPDATES FROM MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS:


1055AMDST
/ES WEEKLY AND DAILY 8AM WEDNESDAY REFERENCE POINT ECHOVECTORS
7-DAY 15-MINUTE OHLC SIMPLE ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS CONSTRUCT PERSPECTIVE HIGHLIGHTED AND ILLUSTRATED
933AMDST


939AMDST

944AMDST

950AMDST
  953AMDST

SHORT-TERM TRADE ALERT COVER SIGNAL DIA ETF $162.55 PEB


PRIOR PREMIUM POST RELEASES TO MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTERS FOR ADDITIONAL CONTEXT


Tuesday, March 11, 2014

/ES EMINI FUTURES ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS FRAMCHART AND OTAPS-PPS POSITION POLARITY SWITCH SIGNAL GUIDEMAP UPDATE: S&P500 STOCK COMPOSITE INDEX /ES EMINI FUTURES PROXY: TUESDAY MARCH 11 2014 555PM EST UPDATE: AMERICAN EXTENDED MARKET HOURS: CONGRESSIONAL CYCLE. ANNUAL CYCLE, BI-QUARTERLY CYCLE, AND QUARTERLY CYCLE PERSPECTIVES ILLUSTRATED AND HIGHLIGHTED WITHQUARTERLY CYCLE ZOOMCHART: MARKETPIVOTSONLINE.COM AND ECHOVECTOR.INFO AND MARKETINVESTORWEEKLY.COM AND BRIGHTHOUSEPUBLISHING.COM WEEKEND ARTICLE INCLUDED

SPYPIVOTS.COM AND E-MINIPIVOTS.COM AND MARKET-PIVOTS.COM AND ETFPIVOTS.COM: MDPP PREMIUM DESK PARTIAL RELEASE TO FREE ONLINE MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTER GROUP BY BRIGHTHOUSE PUBLISHING AND TO SEEKINGALPHA.COM

/es 455pm dst




ALERT: QUARTERLY CYCLE ECHOVECTOR AND WEEKLY CYCLE ECHOVECTOR ALERT: POTENTIAL RELATIVE STRENGTH WEAKNESS FOR COMING WEEK STARTING TUESDAY


PRIOR PREMIUM POST RELEASES TO MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTERS FOR ADDITIONAL CONTEXT

Sunday, March 9, 2014

/ES EMINI FUTURES ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS FRAMCHART UPDATE: S&P500 STOCK COMPOSITE INDEX /ES EMINI FUTURES PROXY: SUNDAY MARCH 9 2014 7:14PM EST UPDATE: ASIAN PRE-MARKET HOURS: CONGRESSIONAL CYCLE. ANNUAL CYCLE, BI-QUARTERLY CYCLE, QUARTERLY CYCLE, AND BONUS 16-YEAR ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS MATURITY CYCLE PERSPECTIVES ILLUSTRATED AND HIGHLIGHTED: MARKETPIVOTSONLINE.COM AND ECHOVECTOR.INFO AND MARKETINVESTORWEEKLY.COM AND BRIGHTHOUSEPUBLISHING.COM WEEKEND ARTICLE INCLUDED

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Friday, March 7, 2014


S&P500 AND SPY AND /ES EMINI FUTURES ARTICLE: PREMIUM DESK RELEASE TO SPYPIVOTS.COM AND SPYPIVOTSONLINE.COM AND MARKET-PIVOTS.COM AND MARKETPIVOTSONLINE.COM AND ETFPIVOTS.COM AND EMINIPIVOTS.COM AND EMININEWS.COM

The American Political Economic Cycle And The Current Melt-Up in Stocks: A Powerfully Revealing EchoVector Analysis of the Current 5-Year Bull Market In Stocks And An Update Of The Article "Don't Fight The Fed"


Kevin Wilbur

Summary
  • The bull market is ready to celebrate its 5TH anniversary, but how much longer will the bull run?
  • The modern era in market structures, market participation, and advanced forecasting techniques may help generate its own momentum.
  • The Federal Reserve leads a significant coordinated global central bank intervention to stabilize and support the stock market during the 2012 presidential midterm election year.
  • An inspection of stock market prices reveals a pattern of significant melt-up after the midterm election year in last three US Administrations, the era of the Internet.
  • The stock market momentum (EchoVector Momentum Indicator) that follows from the post presidential midterm election year and runs through all three administrations is still right on course, and offers a strong indicator to this year's forecast.  See April 1997 to April 2005 to April 2013.
  • Prices may now appear toppy, but coordinate symmetry transposition from the last two regime change cycles also supports the case an an additional up-wave from this coming Fall's price lows.  Will fall lows be higher or lower than the current price level this March, and what might investors and traders do next to prepare?
ARTICLE

BACKGROUND
This week several analyst have published articles celebrating the market's 5-year bull run since the lows of the great 2008-2009 sell-off the second week of March 2009. Few bull markets have lasted longer than five years. What I find interesting is many of these article's primarily thesis is on market technicals, and assessing longer term historical bull market lengths and measures.  One article even states "Part of what makes it so difficult to forecast what is going to happen next right now is history's lack of clear insight."  This often gets mentioned in periods of price over-extension, whether up or down.  I do not agree with this assessment, and believe instead that history does give insight if you are looking in the right place and within the right contextual and analytic framework.
Perhaps a closer review of shorter-term history covering the last 20 years might give us important new insight into where the market may go from here. A review that also takes into account the political economic cycles as well as key and consistent market momentum indicators, while also considering internationally coordinated central bank imperatives and interventions.  Also accounting for, and contexting, vast structural changes in market evolution is important
Dramatic structural changes in the stock market through the last 20 years, and an explosion in market participation during the age of the Internet have occurred. Windows 95 has a 20 year birthday coming up.  So it's not the market your grandfather use to trade, if he traded one at all.  Broad market participation across the globe is also expanding.  The evolution in market structure, in market participation, and in analytic tools and  techniques has been breathtaking.    All three of these evolving market components lend themselves to the development of new analytic frameworks in understanding market price dynamics and forecasting.  This is especially the case within the overall advancement of computer supported market analysis, black box investing approaches, and the ever accelerating and voluminous information age. 
I believe a different and closer inspection of the market focusing on the political economic cycle, and specifically the last three presidential administration cycles and the 2 years following the midterm presidential elections, and recent key central bank price stabilization imperatives, and the utilization of the EchoVector Market Momentum Indicator through these periods, may be particularly useful now in framing a valid understanding  where the market may move next.
THE FEDERAL RESERVE AND STABILIZING MIDTERM ELECTION YEAR PRICES

In August of 2012 I wrote an article examining the Federal Reserve Bank's interest in avoiding excessive market volatility in the a presidential midterm election year of 2012, and instead the Bank wanting to be a significant and effective force and national institution promoting economic stability and economic encouragement to the American electorate during that important political economic and financially sensitive time. In that article, titled Don't Fight The Fed, I explained how the US Federal Reserve Bank lead a global central bank coordinated and orchestrated effort to support stock prices and the wealth effect with a Federal Reserve Bank generated composite stock market price support level bridge during one of the most vulnerable periods in the political economic cycle. Supporting composite stock market price levels and preventing potentially ensuing cyclical price level erosion, and positively trajecting prices further upward instead, was the purpose of this coordinated global central bank intervention.

This article is a follow-up of my previous article. In it I would like to focus on, and to review, how large cap composite equity prices have in fact responded to this past mid-term American presidential election cycle globally coordinated central bank intervention which occurred in the summer of 2012 within the US political economic cycle, and to take a closer look at the current market price level trajectory induced by the central bank when viewed within the context and the time span of stock market price levels over the last three 8-year American presidential regimes: the Clinton regime, the Bush regime, and now the Obama regime.

A LOOK AT THE LAST THREE US PRESIDENTIAL ADMINISTRATIONS' POST MIDTERM ELECTION MELT-UPS IN STOCKS

Let's begin by looking at the following 20-year price track of the S&P 500 Composite Stock Index as reflected a proxy chart of the popular /ES E-mini Futures on that index.

S&P 500 Stock Composite Index /ES E-mini Futures 20-Year Monthly OHLC Perspective
(click to enlarge)

In the chart above note the key white 16-year market financial cycle echovector running from The April 1, 1997, the echobackdate and year following the Clinton Administration mid-term election year, to the April 1 2005 echobackdate and year following the Bush Administration mid-term election year, to the April 1 2013 echovector start date, and year following the Obama Administration mid-term election year.

Notice also the general horizontal price resistance level highlighted in white running from the Clinton Regime's price level toppiness in year 2000 to the Bush Regime price level toppiness in year 2007 to the late spring and summer time sell in May and go away period of the Obama Regime in 2013.

In May of 2013 prices had faltered at this critical time and price level and fell nearly 10% into June. Rallying off the June lows prices began to fall back again in August, potentially setting up a toppy formation much like that in 2007.

It was in the Federal Reserve Bank's genuine interest, and in The Federal Reserve Bank Chairman's focus, his specialty, and his legacy interest, to prevent another market collapse reminiscent of 2008 or 2001-2002, and this seasonal price pressure weakness from accelerating into a more precarious market price phenomena and political economic market cycle echo. And the central bank's ensuing coordinated efforts to place a bridge under stock market prices that summer could not have been more effective nor better timed for this purpose.
The bridge in place, and holding well into November, and that month's returning annual and congressional cycle lows kicking in, with them occurring at these upper and bridged supported price levels, set the stage for significantly better price level momentum trajectory than otherwise, and eventual price level resistance breakthrough and price melt-up, in lieu of price level collapse. Whereas these last three regime mid-term election years appear characterized by little price progress going into July after their first quarter highs, the year that follows, being year 5 in the existing administration's regime change cycle, holds onto momentum price gains on both a year-over-year basis and on a 2-year congressional cycle basis. The latter being even stronger, accelerating prices even further and propelling them into melt-up. This effect was anticipated in my article of August 2012, and has been central to my positive market forecast since.

OUTLOOK

Some analyst have been calling for a pullback from high's this quarter into lower lows this fall, with a bounce back to higher highs going into next year. The above analysis would tend to support such an outlook.

However, currently vigilance and caution at the high price level present may be the better part of wisdom. We have gained over 44% on the S&P since August 2012, and have completed what might be viewed, at best, as the first half of a melt-up that occurs before a potential second wave of melt-up cyclically begins in the second half of this year. Be mindful that sometimes the market, anticipating far enough into the future cyclically, seems to rush to get there early, accomplishing momentum over-extension. This might have also, in part, contributed to the drama of 2008 with regard to downside extension.

At this time within this regime change cycle within the political economic cycle, and at current price levels, my suggestion is to remain nimble, and to let the best price extension scenario evolve, but to also remain ready to lock in gains through hedging utilities in the event of scope relative counter-cyclical occurrences, and to do so possibly right up into the second quarter of next year.

One way to accomplish being nimble would be to set up an active and adjustable OTAPS position polarity switch and straddle to manage your general stock market exposure to any potential changes in the general price level momentum and your forward outlook. Setting straddles at momentum echovector switch level prices is an effective and opportune measure and advanced trade and position management strategy.

One way to employ such a straddle would be to utilize the SPY ETF and/or the DIA ETF. By setting up an advanced trade technology (see "On-Off-Through Vector Target Price Switch") at, for example, $190 on the SPY or at $166 on the DIA, with appropriate dynamic triggers and stops included, such a straddle can be employed.

To perform the short side of the straddle, set a short trigger below either of these mentioned target price switch levels (e.g., $190 on the SPY and/or $166 on the DIA) pre-programmed as a "repeating short trigger switch" at the trigger level on reverse down-tick action through the trigger price, with stops set to activate on reverse uptick up-through action.

To perform the long side of the straddle, set a long trigger above either of these the target price switch levels ($190 on the SPY and/or $166 on the DIA) pre-programmed as a "repeating long trigger switch" at the trigger level on reverse uptick action through the trigger, with stops set to activate on reverse down-tick down-through action.

Now may be a very good time to employ this general market straddle and this more advanced trade technology switch and active position management methodology, especially when reviewing the proxy chart of the S&P 500 over the past 20 years within the current presidential regime change cycle.

Thanks for reading. And Godspeed in your investing.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Kevin Wilbur
Contributor, Alpha Brand Newsletters Group
Chief Market Strategist And EchoVector Analysis Methodologist 
                 PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCVEST

Kevin John Bradford Wilbur is the Chief Market Strategist and Senior EchoVector Analysis Methodologist at PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST. He is a prize-winning Economist and Financial Physicist with an over 35 year span of experience and awards in Academics, Research, Management, Practice and Trade. Kevin has specialized experience in the Major Market Indexes, Commodities, ETFs, and in derivatives and the derivatives markets.


Search market pivots to read more about Kevin John Bradford Wilbur and his specialty,and about THE MARKET ALPHA BRAND NEWSLETTER GROUP.

For further information on constructing and calculating echovectors, coordinate forecast echovectors, and echovector pivot points, see "The Simple Single-Period EchoVector Pivot Point Calculation".

For further information on constructing and calculating otaps-pps position polarity cover and/or switch signal vectors and their trigger points, see "The On-Off-Through Vector Target Application Price Switch And Position Polarity Cover And/Or Switch Signal Vector Trigger Points".

See THE MARKET PIVOTS FORECASTER AND POSITION MANAGEMENT NEWSLETTER for further updates that might develop regarding this analysis.

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Thursday, March 6, 2014


/ES EMINI FUTURES ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS FRAMCHART UPDATE: S&P500 STOCK COMPOSITE INDEX /ES EMINI FUTURES: FRIDAY 7 MARCH 2014 220AM EST: EUROPEAN PRE-MARKET HOURS






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Wednesday, March 5, 2014

S&P500 STOCK COMPOSITE INDEX /ES EMINI FUTURES ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS FRAMECHART AND OTAPS-PPS POSITION POLARITY SWITCH TARGET PRICE FORECAST GUIDEMAP UPDATES: WEDNESDAY 5 MARCH 2014 333PM EST: US MARKET AFTERNOON HOURS

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AND

RSS FEEDS AVAILABLE


/ES 315PMEST

/ES 330PMEST

BONUS CHART

SPX 333PMEST
20-YEAR WEEKLY OHLC ADVANCED ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS FRAMECHART


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Wednesday, March 5, 2014

S&P500 STOCK COMPOSITE INDEX /ES EMINI FUTURES ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS FRAMECHART AND OTAPS-PPS POSITION POLARITY SWITCH TARGET PRICE FORECAST GUIDEMAP UPDATES: WEDNESDAY 5 MARCH 2014 300AM EST: EUROPEAN MARKET MORNING HOURS

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AND

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/ES S&P500 E-MINI FUTURES 2-YEAR DAILY OHLC 

/ES S&P500 E-MINI FUTURES 1-YEAR DAILY OHLC 

/ES S&P500 E-MINI FUTURES 6-MONTH DAILY OHLC 


/ES S&P500 E-MINI FUTURES 3-MONTH DAILY OHLC 



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Tuesday, March 4, 2014


S&P500 STOCK COMPOSITE INDEX /ES EMINI FUTURES ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS FRAMECHART AND OTAPS-PPS POSITION POLARITY SWITCH TARGET PRICE FORECAST GUIDEMAP UPDATES: TUESDAY 4 MARCH 2014 1010AM EST: US MARKET MORNING HOURS: MONTHLY ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE FRAMECHART UPDATE

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Stocks: QQQPSQQLDQIDIWMRWMUWMUKKTWMDIADOG,DDMDXDTLTTLHIEFUUPUDNGLDGTUDGZUGLDZZGLL,IAUSGOLSLVDBSAGQZSLCUPALLPPLTVXXUVXYXIV,TVIXXLITNASPXUIVVTQQQSQQQSPLVSPYSSOSDS

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/ES S&P500 E-MINI FUTURES 1-MONTH HOURLY OHLC 
KEY CYCLE ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVES HIGHLIGHTED 
FROM KEY SELECT STARTING BASE TIME/PRICE POINT 6AM MONDAY 2 FEB 2014
4-WEEK: PINK
3-WEEK: GREY 
2-WEEK: YELLOW
1-WEEK:  WHITE

ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS MONTHLY FRAMECHART PERSPECTIVE
BASE PERSPECTIVE START POINT: 
6AM MONDAY 2 FEB 2014

WITH KEY CYCLE LENGTH ECHOBACKDATETIMEANDPRICE POINTS
HIGHLIGHTED AND ILLUSTRATED


Monday, February 24, 2014


S&P500 STOCK COMPOSITE INDEX /ES EMINI FUTURES ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS FRAMECHART AND OTAPS-PPS POSITION POLARITY SWITCH TARGET PRICE FORECAST GUIDEMAP UPDATES: MONDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2014 1014PM EST: ASIAN MARKET MORNING HOURS: QUARTERLY ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE FRAMECHART UPDATE

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AND

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Stocks: QQQPSQQLDQIDIWMRWMUWMUKKTWMDIADOG,DDMDXDTLTTLHIEFUUPUDNGLDGTUDGZUGLDZZGLL,IAUSGOLSLVDBSAGQZSLCUPALLPPLTVXXUVXYXIV,TVIXXLITNASPXUIVVTQQQSQQQSPLVSPYSSOSDS

CLICK ON CHARTS TO ENLARGE

/ES S&P500 E-MINI FUTURES 5-YEAR DAILY OHLC 
WITH 4-YEAR PRESIDENTIAL CYCLE ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE HIGHLIGHTED


WITH 6-MONTH BI-QUARTERLY ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE HIGHLIGHTED


WITH 3-MONTH QUARTERLY ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE HIGHLIGHTED

WITH WEEKLY AND DAILY ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE HIGHLIGHTED


SPY L1 OPTION RIDER VEHICLES - LONG SIDE- CALLS - WEEKLYS

SPY L1 OPTION RIDER VEHICLES - SHORT SIDE- PUTS - WEEKLYS

BONUS FRAMECHARTS

/ES FUTURES ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS FRAMECHART 
PRESIDENTIAL CYCLE ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE 

/ES S&P500 E-MINI FUTURES 5-YEAR DAILY OHLC WITH PCEVAP

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