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Friday, May 11, 2012


  • Today's Short-Term Outlook And Vector Analysis On The S&P 500 [Edit or Delete]0 comments
    May 11, 2012 9:05 AM
    A Near-Term Vector Analysis of THE S&P 500 Futures Follows
    Referring to quarterly, monthly and weekly support and resistance vectors is fundamental to this analysis. Refer to the following charts and narratives accompanying each chart to complete the whole analysis.
    CHART OF THE MONTHLY ECHOVECTOR, AND THE CURRENT WEEKLY ECHOVECTOR (WITH THREE PRECEDING DAYS WEIGHT ON WEEKLY ECHOVECTOR HIGHLIGHTED).
    How to read the chart:
    * Monthly echovector in aquablue (last Friday to Friday a month earlier)
    * Weekly echovectors in yellow (Friday, today, to prior Friday) and purple (Thursday to prior Thursday) and pink (Tuesday to prior Tuesday) and green (last Monday to prior Monday, with European session highlighted in yellow too)
    * Current 3 day support vector in peach
    MONTHLY CHART
    (click to enlarge)


    Below is a close-up of the current weekly echovectors at work today provided in the MONTHLY CHART above.
    The yellow echovector speaks to Friday to Friday coordination and weight. Breaking the yellow spaced resistance vector formed by 7PM
    Thursday evening support would be short term bullish, and could result in tests to the white vector level and possibly, in strong sentiment, test monthly resistance, the upper blue space vector level.
    Looking at the 90 day, hourly (quarterly echovector) chart for these same values will shed great light on the probabilities in the preceding paragraph.
    WEEKLY CHART
    (click to enlarge)

    Below is the 90 day hourly (quarterly echovector to the hour in light grey) chart.
    The key base echovector is for yesterday's high, and the 4AM opening in Europe this morning. as you can see, these are coordinate quarterly echovectors. The grey spaced vectors are coordinate forecast vectors extrapolated from the close of last quarter's coordinate Friday (today's quarterly echobackdate,or EBD). The quarterly vector EBD low is also highlighted and the extrapolated echovector shown. These are bias free forecast echovectors.
    Highlighted also in red spaced vectors are the current quarterly echovectors based on the current weekly lows for this week and the week a quarter ago. The weekly closing echovector and the weekly low and the equivalent of today's quarterly EBD low are shown.
    These red-space vectors are important vectors within the subtext of a downside bias. Testing these lows on a today would be relatively bearish in bias with respect to next week's trading.

    However, without bring bias into the analysis, the QEV forecast echovector indicates modest strength off of opening morning lows.



    CURRENT STRATEGY

    Look for a bounce to at least the quarterly EBD unbiased (grey spaced) forecast echovector and possibly to the unbiased 4AM (solid grey) quarterly echovector (QEV EBD FEV). In real strength the market could test the white downvector from last Friday's and yesterdays highs, and even the blue monthly FEV. The latter would be extremely bullish going forward into next week's open and might indicate a short term however tenuous bottom was put in this week.

    Utility Rider Vehicle and Strategy: SPY May 19 2012 136.0 Call opened near low grey spaced  morning forecast echovector. 
    QUARTERLY CHART
    (click to enlarge)

    QEV   QUARTERLY ECHOVECTOR, TIME COORDINATED.
    MEV   MONTHLY

    WEV   WEEKLY

    DEV    DAILY
    FEV    FORECAST ECHOVECTOR, TIME COORDINATED
    EBD    ECHOBACKDATE

    EBP    ECHOBACKPOINT, ECHOBACKPRICE
    TPE    TIME/PRICE ECHOVECTOR EQUIVALENCY

    EDP    EXTREME DISCRETE PIVOT
    ESTP   EXTREME SHORT-TERM PIVOT

    *AS ALWAYS, Stay nimble, looking for EDPs and ESTPs on DEV and WEV confirming failed (negative-weighted, echo path direction countervailing) TPE extensions, and/or  EDPs and  ESTPs  on DEV and WEV confirming extra-affirming (echo path direction extra-affirming, positive weighted) TPE over extensions.

    Disclosure: I'm considering going long this morning on the SPY.  However, this is a short-term intraday daytrading long
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