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ANALYSIS, ALERTS, OTAPS SIGNALS, CHART ILLUSTRATIONS, AND COMMENTARY

Sunday, July 29, 2012


  • STOCK MARKET ALERT, COMMENTARY AND STRATEGY [Edit or Delete]3 comments
    Jul 27, 2012 3:20 AM | about stocks: IWMQQQDIASPY
    THURSDAY, JULY 26, 2012
    STOCK MARKET ALERT, COMMENTARY AND STRATEGY
    Posted by EchoVectorVEST at 12:38 PM Thursday
    The American and European Central Banks are fully aware of the extraordinarily heavy vector price weights of this week and next week (on an AEV basis, Active Annual Market Price Level Echovector basis) within the global equities markets. The Central Banks also recognize the strong significance of the underlying pivot potentials in the AEV and the subsequent positive effect on following price level vectors if their efforts at stimulus during these important two weeks are effective.
    Stimulus on underlying price vectors within the market this week could not be better timed by the key Central Banks. Even stimulus (encouragement) coming simply in the form of strong interventionist yet believable "talking points" issued by the key Central Banks, globally.
    Tuesday's talking point 'save' by the FED and today's talking point stimulus by the ECB are providing the coordinated Central Bank price support level lift so well-timed by the Central Banks' recognitions of the active underlying price level echovectors at work in the market.
    A key Central Bank efforted pivot in the markets, on an AEV basis is in the works, if the Central banks can maintain this effective price level stimulus condition through the significant down-pressure AEV echovector period also approaching next week.
    Central Bank stimulus, successfully 'cabling' Price Support on the AEV this week and next within current Central Bank targeted upper price level bands (price level bridges) can have a strong effect on both the PCEV (Active Presidential Cycle Market Price Level EchoVector) and the RCCEV (Active Regime Change Cycle Market Price Level EchoVector).
    Effective Price Support stimulus this week sets up more positively oriented endogenous price echovector induced follow through by the markets for more positive market AEV echoprice action going forward, ceteris paribus.
    ____________________________________________________________
    Posted by EchoVectorVEST at 9:09 AM Thursday
    This is a critical support juncture level, and day, for successful FED-ECB management of global equities price support, see DIA ETF Price equivalency basis and the WEV and AEV intersects.
    This will relate to PCEV and RCCEV forward as well.
    Potential Key Pivot in works on 2EV AND 3QEV basis at DIA ETF PEB 127.75 AT THIS TIMEPOINT.
    See WEV and AEV perspectives.
    ____________________________________________________________
    Posted by EchoVectorVEST at 10:39 AM Thursday
    DIA ETF 127.75 HOLDING:
    CBM PSLM EFFECTIVE. Coordinated CB SPTTWM EFFECTIVE
    From FED and ECB TPS and TPL interventions this week.
    From the ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP Trademark Terminology Matrix
    CB: Central Bank
    CBM: Central Bank Management
    PLM Price Level Management
    PSLM Price Support Level Management
    SPLM Support Price Level Management
    KTSPLM Key Target Support Price Level Management
    SPTTWM Support Price Target Time Weighted Management
    FED Federal Reserve
    ECB European Central Bank
    TPE Talking Point Effect
    TPL Talking Point Lift
    TPS Talking Point Support
    APE Action Point Effect
    APL Action Point Lift
    APS Action Point Support
    ____________________________________________________________

    The following post has 3 comments:

     Track new comments on this article

    • Kevin,
      OK thanks for posting the updated information and commentary. Will be interesting to see how the first couple of weeks in August go in US and world markets. Not much doubt that the Fed, ECB, and other central banks are doing much to try and keep markets elevated, even if it is only repeatedly issuing and implying more monetary action at any point in time.

      27 Jul, 12:22 AMReplyDelete CommentLike0
    •  Thank you, UT.
      My work indicates this week was critical.

      If the first week of August also reflects similar divergent and positive pivoting action on an annual echovector reflection basis, then the Central Banks will have produced much by way of price support intervention. Approaching some of this fall's relatively heavy-weighted weeks and periods coming (on an Annual EchoVector and Presidential Cycle EchoVector basis) from these otherwise strengthened and better upward sloping vectors, and higher nominal price level perches... or bridge levels... should be relatively advantageous...

      This week's significant price level lift currently has us trading ABOVE the bi-quarterly echovector (strength) of last fall's high to this spring's high, transposed to an Annual Echovector equivalent, and then projected from last August's low. This is a powerfully positive vector math and price level mechanics occurance and outcome. Especially since this bi-quarterly echovector vector is also fundamentally defined by and reflects the 2-year Congressional Cycle echovector (major recovery momentum echovector) from May 2009 to May 2011.

      This is a powerful occurance and outcome, and a powerful piece of market vector price level and price momentum information, and the central banks couldn't have timed their respective Fed-Speak and ECB-Speak better, nor asked for better results from their 'talking points' in the immediate term...

      27 Jul, 10:17 AMReplyDelete CommentLike0
    •  I've posted a chart illustrating this key 2-year (CCEV) and bi-quarterly (2AEV) echovector at the ECHOVECTORVEST home blogsite.

      The chart utilizes the DIA ETF price equivalency basis. The chart frame perspective is 5-Year Daily OHLC.

      See:
      http://bit.ly/N84Z85

      This key momentum echovector is illustrated on the chart in dotted yellow.

      27 Jul, 10:40 AMReplyDelete CommentLike0

    Posted by EchoVectorVEST at 12:38 PM Wednesday
    ARTICLE: WEDNESDAY, JULY 25, 2012
    Following is a financial physics analysis and interpretation of The Federal Reserve's (THE FED's) current position on the equity market's price level, on how this analysis might interpret the FED'S actions going forward, and on how to understand and position now for this possibility (but not certain) FED action in this Presidential Election Year.
    At the close of last Thursday's market, CNBC reported an unusual phenomena, a series of 'time-weighted programs' entering the market. The reporter was able to report the phenomena, but was unable to provide any real interpretation of it
    Now, consider the following analog from physics often utilized in financial physics:
    "A market vector price support level bridge, which enables 'the passage of a heavy time-weighted week or period of weeks to cross it, without incurring 'bridge support level breakthrough'. And additionally 'cabling' the bridge for the periods of heavy load in a dynamic system."
    Current vector price level bridges have already been built by THE FED and are in place and in force... and most market technical analysts often refer to them as 'support.'
    Within my model, which incorporates both economic calendar and political economic calendar cycles and variables, several significant bridges are the Active 2-Year Congressional Price Support Vector Bridge (2-year cycle, CCEV) the Active Annual Price Support Vector Bridge (AEV), the Bi-Annual Price Support Vector Bridge (2QEV), and the Quarterly Price Support Vector Bridge (QEV). These active bridges can be readily determined, even to the day.
    (For examples, see my SA article, "Chart: The S&P And Should I still Stay Away If I sold In May", and my current SA Instablog posts on the SPY and the DIA.)
    THE FED also monitors the Monthly Price Support Vector Bridge (MEV), which is also of particular significance to the active trader, within the EVV MDPP Model.
    Also significant to the active trader is the active Weekly Price Support Vector and Bridge, the Daily Price Support Vector and Bridge, and the Morning Block and Afternoon Block Price Support Vectors and Bridges (which are often impacted and sometimes even formed by The Asian Market's and The European Market's open, trading high, trading low, and closing price.
    How the market 'carries' various 'heavy-weighted weeks' across these support price bridges,' at key times in the calendar, and how these bridges 'hold up' under these 'loads' is of fundamental price support level interest, and its management, to THE FED.
    THE FED is utilizing the wealth effect in its overall attempt to 'print and distribute' anti-deflationary 'paper value' and its hopefully stimulating effects across the economy.
    In th administration of this goal, and this financial physics at work, maintaining certain general equity market price support level 'bridge heights' are very important to THE FED.
    So, occasional THE FED releases certain bridge 'cabling' announcements and acts (extra-cable strengths) in support of certain price bridge levels during certain load-challenging periods, or in the case of Tuesday afternoon, moments of heavy-weighted two-week load (see the AEV bridge) that appeared to be having trouble traversing the important current supporting bridge price level, and appeared to be breaking through (also see the MEV).
    Breakthrough's can cascade to lower bridge levels, and further negatively pivoting and down-pressuring price momentum, which can be even further precarious to additional oncoming heavy load periods...
    THE FED faces one of these on the significant Presidential Cycle Echovector (PCEV) in September and October of this year.
    As mentioned, last Thursday CNBC reported the unusual process the last hour of trading, that significant 'time-weighted programs' entered the market.,The market then lost 3 percent in the following two trading sessions. And yesterday, Tuesday, the market challenged and revisited these low levels, sinking even further, and then positioned itself on a 'cliffhanger' going into the last hour of trading on the key monthly echovector bridge price support (MEV)...
    Then, yesterday THE WSJ 'published' a major 'cable' by THE FED during the last 1/2 hour of regular market open trading, to help prop up the market.
    THE FED surely is monitoring all relevant echovector price support bridges.
    In its administrative market calculus this is surely one of the reasons why August 1 and September are so important to THE FED, and to its perceived resource pool of actions, what the market often refers to as THE FED'S 'effective powder'.
    Many time-weighting price vector analyst hold that THE FED would rather not 'spend' its powder now, on the AEV (Annual EchoVector)and these forward 'heavy weighted' two weeks, on and into the market just yet, especially if THE FED doesn't have to. This preference exists because of the big September PCEV heavy-weight THE FED faces, and the amount of powder they have left, and the decreasing effect of powders use. On the 'other hand,' THE FED will 'intervene' if it has to, and if the market becomes weak enough to 'cliff' the big problem, and it did yesterday...
    THE FED is using the wealth-effect stimulus as part of its 'printing press' activities to keep things afloat, and THE FED would also like to stay in the 'talk it up' (or keep it from falling) modality, if it can, and 'talk' works (cables) well enough.
    'Talk' is less expensive than actions.
    THE FED would also prefer to continue trying to stimulate Congress to get into the 'stimulating ring' with it, with fiscal stimulus too.
    'Acting' also runs contrary to the FEDS usual 'relative quietness and impartiality and inaction' leading into Presidential Elections, a position it tried to (unsuccessfully) set up last year and earlier this year...
    'Quiet,' however, is now long gone...
    And the market now seems on the precipice of FED action.
    Below are charts of the SPX highlighting all these key Price Support Vector Bridges converging this week which THE FED is weighting. This week's active PCEV, Presidential Cycle Echovector bridge, is highlighted in white. The CCEV, Congressional Cycle Echovector bridge, is in yellow. The AEV, Annual Cycle Echovector bridge, is in red. The 2QEV,Bi-quarterly Cycle Echovector bridge, is in grey. And the QEV,Quarterly Cycle Echovector bridge, is in peach.
    S&P500, SPX 5-YEAR WEEKLY OHLC
    (click to enlarge)
    S&P500, SPX 15-MONTH WEEKLY OHLC
    (click to enlarge)
    So, many analyst are now confronted with the selection between two powerful and competing Wall Street maxims: 'Sell In May And Go Away' (and staying away), or 'Don't Fight The FED.' Analysts are wrestling this week with which of these two maxims should rule the day, and with which of these two maxims should rule these next two weeks and next two months in the stock market. And they are also wrestling with how to approach positioning in the market, if they choose to do so.
    (Staying nimble, also seems to be the rule of the day.)
    In this market environment and climate, we suggest the employment of active and adjustable echovector bridge-based straddling position's to manage positions. Setting straddles at these bridge levels on their relevant time-basis
    Such an approach is particularly well tailored to, and could prove very valuable, in engaging and effectively managing these market situations going forward into the Presidential Election, regardless of what THE FED may or may not say or do...
    One way to employ such a straddle would be to utilize the SPY ETF and/or the DIA ETF. By setting up an advanced trade technology "On-Off-Though Target Price Switch" at (EG.) $133 on the SPY or at $125.5 on the DIA, with appropriate dynamic triggers and stops included, such a straddle can be employed.
    To perform the short side of the straddle, set a short trigger below either of these mentioned target price switch levels (EG. $133 on the SPY and/or at $125.5 on the DIA) pre-program as a 'repeating short trigger switch' at the trigger level on reverse down-tick action through the trigger price with stops set to activate on reverse uptick up-through action.
    To perform the long side of the straddle, set a long trigger above either of these the target price switch levels ($133 on the SPY and/or at $125.5 on the DIA) pre-program as a 'repeating long trigger switch' at the trigger level on reverse uptick action through the trigger with stops set to activate on reverse down-tick down-through action.
    Now may be a very good time to employ this general market straddle, and this more advanced trade technology and active position management methodology, especially when reviewing at the chart of the S&P500 over the past 4 years within this current Presidential Cycle.
    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.
    This article is tagged with:
    Posted by EchoVectorVEST at 12:38 PM 
    _________________________________________________________
    SEE:
    Posted by EchoVectorVEST at 12:56 PM Tuesday
    TUESDAY, JULY 24, 2012
    FED ACTION ALERT COVER ALL LARGE CAP EQUITY INDEX AND ETF BASED SHORTS: EMPLOY OTAPS FNP INSURANCE AND FNP DOUBLE PRICE STRADDLE AT DIA PEB $126.
    _________________________________________________________
    See:
    Posted by EchoVectorVEST at 6:59 AM Monday
    MONDAY, JULY 23, 2012
    DIA OTAPS: DIA ETF ALERT: Cover FNPDS at 125.50, and Switch to FNPDL, utilizing OTAPS
    _________________________________________________________
    SEE:
    THURSDAY, MAY 17, 2012
    On-Off-Through Vector Target Application Price Switch
    Active Advance Management Position Value Optimization Methodology and Active Advance Management Trade Technology
    ProtectVEST and AdvanceVEST by EchoVectorVEST, MDPP, Introduces the
    On-Off-Through Vector Target Application Price Switch
    A Recursive 3-Legged Conditional Branched Chain Stop-Specific Trade Trigger Position Management Order Utility Program and Platform for Advanced Applications of:
    FNPI Full Net Portfolio Insurance
    FNPL Full Net Portfolio Long
    FNPS Full Net Portfolio Short
    FNPDL Full Net Portfolio Double Long
    FNPDS Full Net Portfolio Double Short
    FNPositionI Full Net Position Insurance
    FNPositionL Full Net Position Long
    FNPositionS Full Net Position Short
    FNPositionDL Full Net Position Double Long
    FNPositionDS Full Net Position Double Short
    FNVI Full Net Vehicle (Price Level) Insurance
    FNVL Full Net Vehicle Long
    FNVS Full Net Vehicle Short
    FNVDL Full Net Vehicle Double Long
    FNVDS Full Net Vehicle Double Short
    OOTVTAPS: On-Off-Through Vector Target Application Price Switch: ootv or otaps (for short)
    _________________________________________________________
    See:
    Posted by EchoVectorVEST at 6:02 PM Monday 
    MONDAY, JULY 23, 2012
    ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP Model's Major ALERTS And Position Polarity Adjustment Results Since Late April's Major Seasonal ALERT: Major Large Cap Equity Value UP Over 70%
    Major Large Cap Equity Value UP Over 70%
    On The 10 Primary EchoVectorVEST MDPP Model
    Position Polarity ALERT Adjustments
    Issued Since Late April 2012
    $DJI and DIA ETF Price Equivalency Basis
    ____________________________________________________________
    i, I Full Net Position Insurance
    s, S Full Net Position Short
    l, L Full Net Position Long
    ds, DS Full Net Position Double Short
    dl, DL Full Net Position Double Long
    DD Full Net Position Double Double (using Double ETFs and 100% Margin)
    (The more aggressive position managers may use the double double strategy.)
    ___________________________________________________________
    MDPP
    PRIMARY ADJUSTMENT ALERTS (POSITION POLARITY CHANGES, PIVOTS)
    WTH RESPECTIVE PRICE LEVELS
    AND CAPITAL GAIN CAPTURES
    LATE APRIL TO MID-JULY ALERTS AND RESULTS
    1. Late April DIA $132, Full Insurance Application open and Double-Short Application open.
    2. To Late May DIA $124, DS close.
    i + 8
    s + 8
    ds +16
    DDS + 32
    3. To Early June DIA $121, insurance close and DL open
    i +3
    4. To Mid-June DIA $128, DL close and insurance open and DS open
    l + 7
    dl +14
    DDL +28
    5. To 3RD Week of June DIA $124.5, insurance close and DS close and DL open
    i + 3.5
    s + 3.5
    ds + 7
    DDS +14
    6. To Early July DIA $129, insurance open and DL close and DS open
    l + 8
    dl +16
    DDL +32
    7. To DIA $125, insurance close and DS close and DL open
    i + 4
    s + 4
    ds + 8
    DDL +16
    8. To DIA $128, DL close and insurance open and DS open..
    l + 3
    dl + 6
    DDL +12
    9. To DIA $125.50, insurance close and DS close and DL open
    i + 2.5
    s + 2.5
    ds + 5
    DDS +10
    10. To DIA $126.70, DL close and insurance open and DS open
    l + 1.7
    MODEL AND APPROACH GAINS AND COMPARISONS
    UP $94.70 Net Total Capital Gain Capture Differential, DIA Price Equivalency Basis
    UP 71.72% on ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP Active Advanced Management 8 Adjustment MODEL
    DOWN $5.30 on Passive Management 0 Adjustment MODEL
    DOWN 4.02% on Passive Management 0 Adjustment MODEL
    Posted by EchoVectorVEST at 6:02 PM 
    FOR TODAY'S KEY CHARTS AND ANALYSIS, SEE:
    AND,
    ________________________________________________________
    PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST BY ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP
    "We're keeping watch for you."
    ________________________________________________________
    COPY AND PASTE THE LINKS ABOVE INTO YOUR BOWSER'S ADDRESS BAR FOR SUCCESSFUL AND UNIMPEDED NAVIGATION DIRECTLY TO WEBPAGES.
    Posted by EchoVectorVEST
    _________________________________________________________
    Chart illustrations Utilize the Following Terminological References
    From the EchoVectorVEST 'TradeMark Terminology Matrix' and Reference Guide:
    EV Echovector, EchoVector
    ED EchoDate
    ETP EchoTimePoint
    FEV Forecast EchoVector
    KFED Key Forecast EchoDate
    FETP Forecast (Forward) EchoTimepoint
    KFETP Key Forecast EchoTimePoint
    EBD EchoBackDate
    EBTP EchoBackTimePoint
    KEBD Key EchoBackDate
    KEBTP Key EchoBackTimePoint
    ASEV Asian Session EchoVector (Shanghai Index Centric)
    ESEV European Session EchoVector (Continent Centric)
    DEV Daily EchoVector
    24HEV 24Hour EchoVector
    2DEV 2Day EchoVector
    48HEV 48Hour EchoVector
    WEV Weekly EchoVector
    2WEV Bi-Weekly EchoVector
    MEV Monthly EchoVector
    2MEV Bi-monthly EchoVector
    QEV Quarterly EchoVector
    2QEV 6-Month EchoVector, 2 Quarters
    3QEV 6- Month EchoVector, 3 Quarters
    4QEV 12-Month EchoVector, 4 Quarters, Annual
    AEV 12-Month EchoVector, Yearly
    6QEV 18-Month EchoVector
    1.5AEV 18-Month EchoVector
    2AEV 2-Year EchoVector
    CCEV Congressional Cycle EchoVector
    4AEV 4-Year EchoVector
    PCEV Presidential Cycle EchoVector
    8AEV 8-Year EchoVector
    RCCEV Regime Change Cycle EchoVector (4 or 8 Years)
    5AEV 5-Year EchoVector
    FRCEV Federal Reserve EchoVector, 5-Year
    10AEV 10-Year, One Decade, EchoVector
    ________________________________________________________
    BLOG ARCHIVE
    ABOUT US
    EchoVectorVEST
    Providing Forecasting and Trade Management Technology, Analysis, and Education Consistent With Doubling the Portfolio Position Value of The DIA ETF (Dow 30 Industrials) From Mid 2007 to 2011!
    Then More Than Doubling Again in 2011!
    And Then More Than Doubling Again in the First Half of 2012!
    ProtectVEST by EchoVectorVEST, MDPP
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DIA, /YM
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ACTIVE ADVANCED RISK MANAGEMENT OTAPS-PPS ALERTS

Introducing the Active Advanced Risk Management On/Off/Through Vector Target Application Price Switch. Position Management and Value Optimization Technology. See "OTAPS" Link Above Right.

ACTIVE ADVANCED POSITION MANAGEMENT DOUBLE LEVERAGE AND DOUBLE-DOUBLE LEVERAGE ALERTS

Introducing PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST Active Advanced Management (A) Double and (B) Double-Double Positioning Technology For Select Instruments and Key Focus Interest Opportunity Periods. See Links Above Right.

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KEY ELEMENTAL STOCHASTICS CYCLE PHASE INPUTS: Economic Calendar, Earning Calendar, Options Expiration Calendar, Futures Expiration Calendar, FRB Announcement And Release Calendar - Federal Open Market Committee Calendar, Political Cycle Calendar, Global Markets Intra-day Rotation Calendar - Opens & Closes & Key Time and Time Block Wave High & Lows, etc.


2HEV 2 Hour EchoVector

4HEV 2 Hour EchoVector

6HEV 6 Hour EchoVector

8HEV 8 Hour EchoVector

12HEV 12 Hour EchoVector

24HEV 24 Hour EchoVector

48HEV 48 Hour EchoVector

72HEV 72 Hour EchoVector

WEV Weekly EchoVector

2WEV Bi-Weekly EchoVector

MEV Monthly EchoVector

2MEV Bi-Monthly EchoVector

QEV Quarterly Echovector

2QEV Bi-Quarterly EchoVector

AEV Annual EchoVector

2AEV 2 Year EchoVector Congressional

PCEV 4 Year EchoVector Presidential

FRBEV 5 Year EchoVector Federal Reserve Bank

SEV 6 Year EchoVector Senatorial

RCCEV 8 Year EchoVector Regime Change

MCEV 16 year EchoVector Maturity